BG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 4.4% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.2% | 1.4% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | +1.1% | 6.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.94 | 2.00 | +2.9% | -3.8% | -8.2% | -1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.87 | 1.83 | +109.4% | -3.1% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -2.4% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 1.82 | 1.99 | +9.6% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +4.1% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.97 | 2.27 | +15.3% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.08 | 1.31 | +20.9% | +2.7% | +5.2% | +0.8% | +5.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.31 | 1.81 | +38.3% | +2.7% | -2.9% | +8.0% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.25 | 2.13 | -5.3% | -5.0% | -6.9% | -1.1% | +8.2% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.15 | 2.29 | +6.6% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +4.5% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 1.83 | 1.73 | -5.5% | -8.1% | -8.1% | -9.1% | -4.0% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 2.53 | 3.04 | +20.1% | -4.2% | -3.5% | -4.6% | -3.2% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 2.80 | 3.70 | +32.2% | -3.1% | -2.3% | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.50 | 2.99 | +19.7% | +2.8% | +4.1% | -0.9% | +1.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.66 | 3.72 | +39.6% | +1.5% | +4.1% | -0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 3.24 | 3.26 | +0.5% | +4.2% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +1.6% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 3.21 | 3.24 | +0.8% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +1.2% | -5.7% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 2.50 | 3.45 | +37.9% | +6.6% | +7.0% | +0.8% | +3.4% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 3.20 | 2.97 | -7.2% | -4.9% | -4.0% | +3.9% | +12.5% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.94 | 4.26 | +44.8% | +2.7% | +3.6% | -0.2% | -3.4% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 2.87 | 3.49 | +21.4% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +3.2% | +10.4% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.42 | 3.72 | +161.9% | +3.2% | +3.9% | +0.9% | -0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.