BG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +0.1% | 5.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.8% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.3% | 6.4% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.94 | 2.00 | +2.9% | -3.8% | -8.2% | -1.1% | +3.5% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.87 | 1.83 | +109.4% | -3.1% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -2.4% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 1.82 | 1.99 | +9.6% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +4.1% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.97 | 2.27 | +15.3% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.08 | 1.31 | +20.9% | +2.7% | +5.2% | +0.8% | +5.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.31 | 1.81 | +38.3% | +2.7% | -2.9% | +8.0% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 2.25 | 2.13 | -5.3% | -5.0% | -6.9% | -1.1% | +8.2% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.15 | 2.29 | +6.6% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +4.5% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 1.83 | 1.73 | -5.5% | -8.1% | -8.1% | -9.1% | -4.0% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 2.53 | 3.04 | +20.1% | -4.2% | -3.5% | -4.6% | -3.2% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 2.80 | 3.70 | +32.2% | -3.1% | -2.3% | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.50 | 2.99 | +19.7% | +2.8% | +4.1% | -0.9% | +1.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.66 | 3.72 | +39.6% | +1.5% | +4.1% | -0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 3.24 | 3.26 | +0.5% | +4.2% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +1.6% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 3.21 | 3.24 | +0.8% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +1.2% | -5.7% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 2.50 | 3.45 | +37.9% | +6.6% | +7.0% | +0.8% | +3.4% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 3.20 | 2.97 | -7.2% | -4.9% | -4.0% | +3.9% | +12.5% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.94 | 4.26 | +44.8% | +2.7% | +3.6% | -0.2% | -3.4% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 2.87 | 3.49 | +21.4% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +3.2% | +10.4% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.42 | 3.72 | +161.9% | +3.2% | +3.9% | +0.9% | -0.2% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 1.62 | 2.61 | +61.1% | +4.1% | +4.4% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.54 | 3.13 | +102.7% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +4.3% | +2.2% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 1.82 | 3.05 | +67.5% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +8.2% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.20 | 2.47 | +1154.1% | +4.1% | +4.3% | -3.6% | +4.8% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 1.31 | 3.88 | +195.2% | +2.6% | +1.3% | -0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.67 | -1.34 | -300.4% | -7.7% | -9.9% | +0.4% | +24.2% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.29 | 1.27 | +342.0% | +2.9% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -29.9% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.40 | 1.41 | +252.1% | -2.0% | -6.1% | +4.6% | +1.2% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.33 | 1.52 | +357.6% | +3.3% | +3.7% | -3.7% | -9.9% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.04 | 0.36 | +730.5% | +2.5% | +6.9% | -0.3% | +3.2% |
| 2019-02-21 miss | 0.22 | 0.08 | -63.7% | -2.4% | +1.5% | -0.7% | -3.3% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 2.39 | 2.52 | +5.3% | +0.5% | -9.1% | +1.5% | -7.7% |
| 2018-08-01 miss | 1.04 | 0.10 | -90.4% | -1.6% | -4.5% | -0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | -0.12 | -0.06 | +51.9% | +3.7% | +2.3% | -4.6% | -4.6% |
| 2018-02-14 miss | 1.29 | 0.67 | -47.9% | -4.2% | -5.6% | +0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.1% | +2.5% | +1.1% | -2.4% | -3.5% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.10 | 0.17 | +64.7% | +3.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | 0.71 | 0.35 | -50.8% | -9.5% | -11.3% | +4.4% | +19.8% |
| 2017-02-15 beat | 1.57 | 1.70 | +8.5% | +4.9% | +10.0% | +6.5% | +8.9% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.0% | +2.3% | +10.0% | -0.5% | +0.5% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.79 | +106.6% | +2.9% | +6.7% | -0.3% | -4.4% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.76 | 1.41 | +84.6% | +2.3% | +3.4% | -3.1% | +5.2% |
| 2016-02-11 miss | 1.56 | 1.49 | -4.5% | -3.8% | -18.2% | +2.1% | +15.1% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 1.59 | 1.24 | -21.9% | -1.2% | -6.4% | -1.0% | -10.1% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 1.36 | 0.51 | -62.5% | -5.2% | -5.1% | -4.9% | -10.7% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 1.12 | 1.58 | +41.0% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +3.6% | +6.1% |
| 2015-02-12 miss | 2.52 | 1.20 | -52.4% | -6.4% | -12.1% | +2.8% | -1.1% |
| 2014-10-30 miss | 1.90 | 1.31 | -31.2% | -1.2% | +0.4% | +3.7% | +6.4% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 1.38 | 1.76 | +28.0% | +2.0% | +7.0% | +1.4% | +7.4% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | 1.42 | -0.12 | -108.5% | -2.5% | -5.4% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 2.16 | 1.35 | -37.5% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2013-10-24 miss | 2.24 | 2.05 | -8.5% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +2.5% | +0.8% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 1.33 | 0.74 | -44.2% | -6.3% | +0.4% | +2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.91 | 1.21 | +32.6% | +2.5% | +6.8% | -3.5% | -3.1% |
| 2013-02-07 miss | 2.32 | 0.57 | -75.4% | -6.2% | -9.1% | +2.6% | +3.9% |
| 2012-10-25 miss | 2.17 | 2.08 | -4.0% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +3.2% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 1.33 | 1.20 | -9.8% | +0.0% | +4.9% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 1.19 | 0.69 | -41.8% | -4.4% | -2.6% | -1.4% | -7.0% |
| 2012-02-09 beat | 1.54 | 1.65 | +7.3% | +2.5% | +5.4% | +5.2% | +5.6% |
| 2011-10-27 miss | 1.59 | 0.86 | -46.0% | +0.7% | +5.6% | -1.9% | -3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.