BGFV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -6.5% | -5.5% | 8.8% | 11% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | +0.1% | 3.7% | 56% |
| Day 3 | +1.7% | +1.7% | 5.3% | 56% |
| 5-day | -8.7% | -8.1% | 11.3% | 22% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024-02-27 miss | -0.39 | -0.43 | -10.3% | -5.3% | -9.5% | -14.9% | -26.4% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 0.16 | 0.08 | -49.7% | -19.4% | -22.5% | -2.6% | +13.7% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +66.7% | -5.1% | -13.4% | +3.1% | -2.2% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -66.7% | -6.0% | -4.3% | +8.0% | +7.2% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +14.3% | +4.6% | -0.3% | +0.2% | -15.0% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.4% | -6.4% | -6.9% | -1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -4.3% | -7.5% | -5.4% | +1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | -8.7% | -5.5% | -13.3% | -18.7% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | -2.7% | +9.5% | -2.7% | +1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.