BIP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +1.2% | 3.1% | 75% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.0% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +3.0% | 5.6% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.24 | -0.07 | -128.6% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -8.1% | -10.1% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.20 | -0.20 | -198.0% | +1.8% | -1.5% | +6.6% | +12.1% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.45 | +64.3% | +0.6% | +2.9% | +1.9% | +9.2% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 0.31 | 0.44 | +41.5% | +1.9% | +2.6% | +0.5% | -0.8% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.31 | -0.03 | -109.6% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -3.0% | +0.8% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | — | 0.04 | +4394.4% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +5.4% | +10.3% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.05 | 0.22 | +318.6% | +2.3% | +4.5% | -1.4% | -7.6% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.21 | -0.18 | -186.4% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.10 | -0.10 | -196.4% | +1.3% | -1.7% | -3.1% | +3.6% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -8.1% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +10.3% | +4.9% |
| 2024-02-01 miss | 0.11 | -0.20 | -282.8% | +2.7% | +1.4% | -3.4% | -10.0% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.10 | 0.03 | -68.5% | +1.1% | +10.8% | +3.2% | +10.6% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.15 | 0.38 | +154.4% | +0.0% | -4.8% | +4.0% | +1.2% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 0.21 | -0.07 | -134.0% | +1.1% | +3.4% | -0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.17 | -0.03 | -117.6% | +1.6% | +0.8% | -2.3% | -1.5% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.10 | 0.05 | -50.3% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +16.6% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +3.0% | +3.9% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +100.0% | -1.3% | +2.1% | -5.3% | +0.9% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +16.7% | +1.5% | +1.3% | +1.8% | -0.3% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.05 | 0.23 | +369.2% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +2.5% | -5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.