BKD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | -1.4% | 10.1% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 2.7% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | -0.7% | 8.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -1.4% | 11.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +47.0% | +2.4% | -8.3% | -2.6% | -2.8% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | -0.09 | -0.02 | +77.2% | -6.7% | -4.4% | -2.6% | -12.5% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +17.5% | -6.8% | -9.7% | +1.5% | -8.1% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | -0.18 | -0.20 | -6.8% | -2.9% | +3.5% | +10.6% | +12.2% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -14.8% | -5.6% | -8.6% | +2.8% | +8.6% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | -0.14 | -0.28 | -108.8% | -3.7% | -2.1% | +2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | -0.24 | -0.27 | -12.0% | +7.2% | +2.6% | +7.0% | +13.1% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | -0.21 | -0.26 | -27.6% | -5.6% | -11.8% | -6.5% | -3.9% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.19 | -0.23 | -19.0% | -7.4% | -7.0% | +1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.19 | -0.18 | +3.8% | -1.9% | -4.9% | +1.7% | -5.4% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | -0.24 | -0.31 | -29.2% | -9.1% | -10.7% | +3.8% | +18.2% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +7.1% | +0.0% | +7.0% | -0.2% | +18.6% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | -0.20 | -0.22 | -8.2% | +3.7% | +21.1% | -11.3% | -14.4% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | -0.31 | -0.23 | +25.6% | +1.3% | -1.0% | -8.9% | +2.3% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | -0.42 | -0.47 | -12.0% | +6.6% | +10.6% | -4.2% | -29.6% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +0.7% | -7.3% | -0.5% | +13.1% | -31.0% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | -0.45 | -0.44 | +1.5% | +5.6% | +7.9% | +2.8% | -2.6% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | -0.35 | -0.49 | -39.0% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -8.6% | -8.4% |
| 2022-02-14 beat | -0.41 | -0.40 | +3.1% | -1.5% | +17.3% | +1.9% | +8.1% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | -0.45 | -0.48 | -6.4% | +3.0% | +14.4% | -5.3% | -21.1% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.52 | -0.44 | +16.1% | -2.2% | -4.1% | -5.7% | -1.6% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | -0.55 | -0.53 | +4.3% | -0.9% | +10.9% | -2.5% | -6.0% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | -0.20 | -0.19 | +5.0% | +16.5% | +18.5% | -0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | -0.26 | 0.08 | +130.2% | -7.1% | -11.0% | +38.5% | +59.6% |
| 2020-08-10 miss | -0.55 | -0.57 | -3.6% | -8.3% | -7.0% | -8.6% | -5.8% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | -0.04 | -0.18 | -338.5% | +6.2% | -1.7% | -7.3% | +38.3% |
| 2020-02-18 beat | -0.27 | -0.26 | +5.3% | +0.0% | +21.1% | -24.3% | -75.7% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | -0.29 | -0.38 | -30.4% | -6.8% | -5.0% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | -0.28 | -0.27 | +4.3% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +4.4% | +2.7% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | -0.37 | -0.22 | +41.4% | +3.7% | +9.6% | -3.5% | -10.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.