BLK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +3.2% | 4.0% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 1.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.1% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.9% | 3.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 12.69 | 13.91 | +9.6% | +7.3% | +6.6% | -3.4% | +8.2% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 11.46 | 12.53 | +9.3% | +2.6% | +3.0% | -1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2026-01-15 beat | 12.19 | 13.16 | +7.9% | +3.4% | +5.9% | -2.3% | -7.3% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 11.29 | 11.55 | +2.3% | -1.3% | +3.4% | -5.4% | -8.4% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 10.81 | 12.05 | +11.5% | -3.7% | -5.9% | +5.2% | +10.9% |
| 2025-04-11 beat | 10.13 | 11.30 | +11.6% | -1.2% | +2.3% | -2.8% | +9.1% |
| 2025-01-15 beat | 11.22 | 11.93 | +6.4% | +5.9% | +5.2% | +0.4% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-11 beat | 10.31 | 11.46 | +11.1% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +1.7% | +6.4% |
| 2024-07-15 beat | 9.96 | 10.36 | +4.0% | +0.2% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +3.8% |
| 2024-04-12 beat | 9.39 | 9.81 | +4.5% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -1.8% | +3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.