BMY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +3.0% | 6.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +2.0% | 6.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.60 | 2.04 | +27.7% | -0.6% | +2.8% | -1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.42 | 1.58 | +11.2% | +0.2% | +5.2% | -7.2% | -9.3% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.20 | 1.26 | +4.6% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +0.6% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.52 | 1.63 | +7.5% | +1.6% | +7.1% | +2.2% | +7.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.10 | 1.46 | +32.6% | -3.9% | -5.8% | +4.7% | +8.9% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.50 | 1.80 | +19.9% | -1.2% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -3.8% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.47 | 1.67 | +13.8% | -3.9% | -3.8% | -2.5% | +9.9% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.50 | 1.80 | +20.0% | +2.2% | +5.9% | -1.9% | +7.5% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 1.63 | 2.07 | +27.4% | +6.6% | +11.4% | -3.3% | -4.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | -4.42 | -4.40 | +0.5% | -3.0% | -8.5% | -2.2% | -7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.