BN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.0% | 3.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.5% | 2.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | -0.3% | 4.1% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-10 miss | 0.41 | 0.02 | -95.1% | +1.0% | +5.0% | -5.9% | +0.9% |
| 2023-05-11 miss | 0.44 | 0.03 | -92.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.39 | -0.15 | -139.7% | +3.3% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -20.9% |
| 2022-11-10 miss | 0.57 | 0.17 | -70.9% | +5.4% | +10.3% | +0.5% | -6.9% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 0.51 | 0.23 | -55.3% | +0.6% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +17.4% | -0.9% | -3.0% | +1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | -0.31 | 0.44 | +243.5% | +4.9% | +5.0% | -8.6% | -12.7% |
| 2021-11-11 beat | -0.29 | 0.31 | +209.3% | +1.3% | -2.4% | +0.7% | -1.5% |
| 2021-08-12 beat | -0.15 | 0.33 | +322.7% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -3.4% | -1.3% |
| 2021-05-13 beat | 0.18 | 0.52 | +192.6% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +7.9% | +8.9% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.03 | 0.26 | +900.1% | +3.3% | +3.8% | +2.1% | +2.2% |
| 2020-11-11 miss | 0.40 | 0.07 | -83.6% | +0.3% | -4.5% | +13.4% | +12.8% |
| 2020-08-13 miss | 0.29 | -0.28 | -197.0% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +0.8% | -0.4% |
| 2020-05-14 miss | 0.30 | -0.13 | -144.5% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -2.0% | +10.7% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.11 | 0.33 | +184.6% | +0.5% | +3.2% | +2.2% | -32.1% |
| 2019-11-14 beat | 0.20 | 0.40 | +105.0% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
| 2019-08-08 miss | 0.37 | 0.16 | -57.4% | +0.4% | +1.8% | -0.1% | +5.9% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +1.8% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +2.9% | +2.6% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 0.07 | 0.83 | +1146.7% | +2.0% | -0.3% | +3.4% | +8.1% |
| 2018-11-08 beat | — | 0.05 | +1000.9% | -0.5% | -0.9% | +6.1% | -0.7% |
| 2018-08-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.27 | +1449.7% | +0.5% | +4.5% | +0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.37 | +425.0% | +0.4% | +1.9% | -0.7% | +2.0% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 0.07 | 0.45 | +575.5% | +2.0% | +2.1% | +2.1% | -0.4% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +17.7% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +3.2% |
| 2017-08-10 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -1.5% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2017-05-11 miss | 0.08 | -0.04 | -145.2% | -0.2% | +2.0% | -3.5% | -0.2% |
| 2017-02-09 miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -36.9% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2016-11-11 beat | 0.10 | 0.45 | +366.1% | +1.3% | -4.0% | +3.1% | +4.0% |
| 2016-08-12 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -34.5% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -7.0% |
| 2016-05-13 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -14.2% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +2.1% | +0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.