BN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.9% | 2.3% | 64% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +0.0% | 4.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-10 miss | 0.41 | 0.02 | -95.1% | +1.0% | +5.0% | -5.9% | +0.9% |
| 2023-05-11 miss | 0.44 | 0.03 | -92.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.39 | -0.15 | -139.7% | +3.3% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -20.9% |
| 2022-11-10 miss | 0.57 | 0.17 | -70.9% | +5.4% | +10.3% | +0.5% | -6.9% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 0.51 | 0.23 | -55.3% | +0.6% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +17.4% | -0.9% | -3.0% | +1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | -0.31 | 0.44 | +243.5% | +4.9% | +5.0% | -8.6% | -12.7% |
| 2021-11-11 beat | -0.29 | 0.31 | +209.3% | +1.3% | -2.4% | +0.7% | -1.5% |
| 2021-08-12 beat | -0.15 | 0.33 | +322.7% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -3.4% | -1.3% |
| 2021-05-13 beat | 0.18 | 0.52 | +192.6% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +7.9% | +8.9% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.03 | 0.26 | +900.1% | +3.3% | +3.8% | +2.1% | +2.2% |
| 2020-11-11 miss | 0.40 | 0.07 | -83.6% | +0.3% | -4.5% | +13.4% | +12.8% |
| 2020-08-13 miss | 0.29 | -0.28 | -197.0% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +0.8% | -0.4% |
| 2020-05-14 miss | 0.30 | -0.13 | -144.5% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -2.0% | +10.7% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.11 | 0.33 | +184.6% | +0.5% | +3.2% | +2.2% | -32.1% |
| 2019-11-14 beat | 0.20 | 0.40 | +105.0% | +0.5% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +0.3% |
| 2019-08-08 miss | 0.37 | 0.16 | -57.4% | +0.4% | +1.8% | -0.1% | +5.9% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +1.8% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +2.9% | +2.6% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 0.07 | 0.83 | +1146.7% | +2.0% | -0.3% | +3.4% | +8.1% |
| 2018-11-08 beat | — | 0.05 | +1000.9% | -0.5% | -0.9% | +6.1% | -0.7% |
| 2018-08-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.27 | +1449.7% | +0.5% | +4.5% | +0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.37 | +425.0% | +0.4% | +1.9% | -0.7% | +2.0% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 0.07 | 0.45 | +575.5% | +2.0% | +2.1% | +2.1% | -0.4% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +17.7% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +3.2% |
| 2017-08-10 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -1.5% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2017-05-11 miss | 0.08 | -0.04 | -145.2% | -0.2% | +2.0% | -3.5% | -0.2% |
| 2017-02-09 miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -36.9% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2016-11-11 beat | 0.10 | 0.45 | +366.1% | +1.3% | -4.0% | +3.1% | +4.0% |
| 2016-08-12 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -34.5% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -7.0% |
| 2016-05-13 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -14.2% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +2.1% | +0.5% |
| 2016-02-12 beat | 0.09 | 0.29 | +235.0% | +2.2% | +5.1% | +7.6% | +15.8% |
| 2015-11-06 miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -13.1% | +1.1% | -0.9% | -3.7% | -5.3% |
| 2015-08-07 beat | 0.13 | 0.27 | +111.6% | -0.2% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -9.7% |
| 2015-05-06 beat | 0.10 | 0.32 | +229.3% | +0.7% | -0.9% | +2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2015-02-13 beat | 0.10 | 0.47 | +392.2% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -1.3% |
| 2014-11-07 beat | 0.10 | 0.32 | +231.3% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +0.0% | -1.1% |
| 2014-08-08 beat | 0.09 | 0.35 | +283.8% | +0.4% | +0.9% | +5.7% | +5.4% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.06 | 0.24 | +294.1% | +1.4% | +0.9% | +3.3% | +3.1% |
| 2014-02-14 beat | 0.12 | 0.32 | +161.8% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +3.3% | +1.1% |
| 2013-11-08 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +17.1% | -0.2% | -1.2% | +3.2% | -2.1% |
| 2013-08-09 beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +55.9% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -3.8% | -1.8% |
| 2013-05-09 beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +63.8% | -0.2% | -2.3% | -0.2% | -6.7% |
| 2013-02-15 beat | 0.09 | 0.21 | +139.4% | -0.1% | -3.5% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2012-11-09 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +113.3% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -2.7% | +5.4% |
| 2012-08-10 miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -40.9% | -0.8% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2012-05-10 beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +91.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -5.6% | -3.0% |
| 2012-02-17 beat | 0.12 | 0.25 | +111.3% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +0.2% |
| 2011-11-11 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +30.9% | +1.5% | +2.9% | -6.1% | -8.3% |
| 2011-08-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.37 | +415.3% | -0.8% | -3.5% | +7.1% | -1.2% |
| 2011-05-11 beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +70.6% | -0.1% | -2.8% | +1.9% | -5.0% |
| 2011-02-18 beat | 0.10 | 0.53 | +409.4% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +4.2% | -2.8% |
| 2010-11-05 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -36.9% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -5.4% | -1.3% |
| 2010-08-06 miss | 0.09 | 0.04 | -60.3% | -1.9% | -1.5% | -1.6% | +3.4% |
| 2010-05-06 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +16.3% | -1.7% | -2.6% | +6.9% | -2.6% |
| 2010-02-19 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -8.2% | +3.3% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +7.7% |
| 2009-11-06 miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -46.5% | -2.1% | -2.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.