BNS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +0.7% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 1.0% | 80% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.0% | 4.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 beat | 2.10 | 2.28 | +8.6% | +2.4% | +7.2% | -2.1% | — |
| 2026-05-27 beat | 1.94 | 2.02 | +4.2% | -0.2% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +6.8% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 1.95 | 2.05 | +5.0% | +1.2% | -0.7% | -2.5% | -7.2% |
| 2025-12-02 beat | 1.84 | 1.93 | +4.7% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +2.2% | +5.6% |
| 2025-08-26 beat | 1.72 | 1.84 | +6.7% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +2.3% | +4.8% |
| 2025-05-27 miss | 1.57 | 1.52 | -3.0% | -2.3% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.67 | 1.76 | +5.4% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -2.2% |
| 2024-12-03 miss | 1.61 | 1.22 | -24.1% | -2.2% | -3.5% | +1.9% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-27 beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.4% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +9.7% |
| 2024-05-28 beat | 1.55 | 1.58 | +1.8% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.