BOH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 4.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 2.0% | 25% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -0.2% | 4.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 1.46 | 1.47 | +0.6% | -0.9% | -4.7% | +0.2% | -4.8% |
| 2026-04-20 miss | 1.34 | 1.30 | -3.0% | -3.3% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -4.5% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 1.26 | 1.39 | +9.9% | +1.8% | +6.1% | +0.4% | +4.1% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 1.18 | 1.20 | +2.1% | +3.1% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +4.4% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.06 | 1.06 | +0.3% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -0.5% | +9.0% |
| 2025-04-21 beat | 0.89 | 0.97 | +9.4% | +1.5% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +8.0% |
| 2025-01-27 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.3% | +2.9% | +4.3% | -1.2% | -4.3% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.82 | 0.93 | +12.8% | +3.0% | +9.6% | -1.0% | +10.3% |
| 2024-07-22 miss | 0.87 | 0.81 | -6.8% | -0.9% | +1.5% | -2.1% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 0.88 | 0.87 | -1.2% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% | +0.6% |
| 2024-01-22 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +1.1% | -2.5% | +0.0% | -2.2% | -10.0% |
| 2023-10-23 beat | 0.97 | 1.04 | +7.2% | +5.1% | +4.6% | +3.3% | +15.8% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +0.6% | +1.8% | +6.6% | -0.1% | -9.1% |
| 2023-04-24 miss | 1.22 | 1.14 | -6.8% | -2.4% | +1.7% | -3.7% | -18.5% |
| 2023-01-23 beat | 1.42 | 1.63 | +14.8% | -0.7% | -4.4% | +0.9% | -0.9% |
| 2022-10-24 miss | 1.42 | 1.42 | -0.4% | -2.0% | -6.2% | +7.0% | +14.2% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 1.35 | 1.38 | +2.3% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +2.9% | +3.2% |
| 2022-04-25 beat | 1.19 | 1.44 | +20.9% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -4.3% | -0.8% |
| 2022-01-24 beat | 1.35 | 1.59 | +17.6% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -2.7% | -2.8% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 1.33 | 1.37 | +2.7% | +0.6% | +1.4% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.