BOH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +0.1% | 4.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.7% | 1.1% | 20% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +0.7% | 4.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 1.46 | 1.47 | +0.6% | -0.9% | -4.7% | +0.2% | -4.8% |
| 2026-04-20 miss | 1.34 | 1.30 | -3.0% | -3.3% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -4.5% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 1.26 | 1.39 | +9.9% | +1.8% | +6.1% | +0.4% | +4.1% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 1.18 | 1.20 | +2.1% | +3.1% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +4.4% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.06 | 1.06 | +0.3% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -0.5% | +9.0% |
| 2025-04-21 beat | 0.89 | 0.97 | +9.4% | +1.5% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +8.0% |
| 2025-01-27 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.3% | +2.9% | +4.3% | -1.2% | -4.3% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.82 | 0.93 | +12.8% | +3.0% | +9.6% | -1.0% | +10.3% |
| 2024-07-22 miss | 0.87 | 0.81 | -6.8% | -0.9% | +1.5% | -2.1% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 0.88 | 0.87 | -1.2% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.