BOOT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.8% | 9.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 4.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.7% | 2.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +2.8% | 12.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.70 | 1.91 | +12.1% | -1.8% | +2.3% | +6.3% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-14 beat | 1.43 | 1.45 | +1.4% | +7.2% | -1.7% | +7.5% | +13.0% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 2.77 | 2.57 | -7.2% | +3.7% | +2.9% | -1.3% | -7.8% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.28 | 1.37 | +7.3% | +5.7% | -4.5% | -1.5% | +5.2% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.55 | 1.74 | +12.2% | +6.3% | -0.6% | -2.8% | +6.4% |
| 2025-05-14 miss | 1.25 | 1.22 | -2.0% | +15.8% | +16.7% | +3.0% | +5.9% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 2.38 | 2.21 | -7.3% | -9.9% | -7.8% | -13.0% | -30.5% |
| 2024-10-28 miss | 0.96 | 0.95 | -1.0% | -13.2% | -19.7% | +0.6% | +5.3% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 1.08 | 1.26 | +17.1% | +9.7% | +13.8% | +6.3% | +6.0% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | 0.89 | 0.96 | +8.1% | -0.3% | +2.8% | +0.3% | +15.0% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 1.79 | 1.81 | +1.1% | +7.4% | +10.3% | +7.1% | +15.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.7% | +1.0% | +8.6% | -3.7% | +0.6% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.84 | 1.13 | +34.9% | +11.0% | +13.1% | -5.6% | -9.0% |
| 2023-05-17 beat | 1.44 | 1.53 | +6.6% | -12.7% | -10.7% | +0.6% | +18.5% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 1.75 | 1.74 | -0.3% | +3.4% | +17.5% | -0.2% | -13.0% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.90 | 1.06 | +17.3% | +1.4% | -0.8% | -7.2% | +7.4% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.14 | 1.29 | +12.7% | -3.3% | -9.5% | -3.8% | +12.0% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 1.31 | 1.47 | +12.4% | +5.0% | -1.3% | -7.3% | -4.5% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 2.21 | 2.27 | +2.6% | -3.1% | -9.7% | +0.4% | -0.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.91 | 1.25 | +37.8% | +5.9% | +2.2% | +14.4% | +22.8% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.90 | 1.35 | +50.6% | +8.7% | +6.5% | -0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2021-05-12 beat | 0.46 | 0.82 | +76.8% | +6.6% | +9.5% | -3.3% | +1.2% |
| 2021-01-25 beat | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.2% | -0.7% | -4.0% | +1.0% | +5.7% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.13 | 0.20 | +57.8% | +1.9% | +3.4% | +5.0% | +23.4% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -0.15 | -0.02 | +86.3% | +12.7% | +10.3% | +10.8% | +32.4% |
| 2020-05-20 miss | 0.26 | 0.20 | -23.5% | -1.2% | -4.3% | +0.1% | +5.3% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.5% | -11.7% | -9.8% | -9.5% | -29.0% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +29.9% | +4.5% | -6.1% | +9.2% | +14.2% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +52.8% | +23.7% | +4.7% | -2.5% | +4.5% |
| 2019-05-16 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +9.4% | -0.3% | -3.8% | +14.3% | +28.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.