BV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.4% | -5.8% | 10.4% | 25% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 3.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | -5.8% | 11.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.29 | 0.17 | -41.8% | -16.2% | -19.2% | +9.2% | +6.9% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -9.0% | +7.9% | +11.9% | -5.1% | -6.8% |
| 2026-02-03 miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -176.3% | -6.3% | -7.0% | +10.1% | +0.2% |
| 2025-11-19 miss | 0.32 | 0.27 | -14.7% | -6.7% | -0.9% | +7.5% | +8.6% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.34 | 0.30 | -10.7% | -6.3% | -5.8% | -3.5% | -6.6% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.11 | 0.23 | +104.2% | +11.1% | +8.5% | +5.1% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +0.3% | -1.9% | -6.6% | -2.1% | -18.4% |
| 2024-11-13 miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -1.8% | -8.3% | -13.4% | +5.4% | +7.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.0% | +1.8% | +7.2% | -4.6% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +58.6% | +6.5% | +11.3% | -1.8% | +11.1% |
| 2024-01-31 miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -46.6% | -4.6% | -1.0% | -5.1% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-16 miss | 0.36 | 0.19 | -46.7% | -3.0% | -6.7% | +3.7% | +13.5% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.1% | -5.3% | -1.4% | +5.6% | +6.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +20.3% | -1.1% | +16.6% | +4.4% | +15.2% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +88.7% | -7.0% | -21.8% | +0.5% | -5.1% |
| 2022-11-17 miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -2.8% | -3.3% | -12.8% | -5.2% | -16.6% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -11.4% | -0.2% | -11.7% | -7.6% | -16.6% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +5.4% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -5.5% | +12.3% |
| 2022-02-03 miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -26.6% | -5.5% | -5.9% | -0.3% | +1.7% |
| 2021-11-17 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.5% | -8.3% | -9.9% | -0.1% | -3.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.