C chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 4.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 2.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +0.8% | 5.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 2.71 | 3.14 | +15.6% | -2.1% | -5.3% | -0.3% | +3.2% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 2.60 | 3.06 | +17.9% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +1.6% | -4.2% |
| 2026-01-14 miss | 1.62 | 1.24 | -23.4% | +1.4% | -3.3% | +2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 1.93 | 2.26 | +17.4% | -0.8% | +3.9% | -1.6% | +3.0% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 1.59 | 2.04 | +28.3% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +3.6% | +4.3% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 1.85 | 1.96 | +5.9% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +18.1% |
| 2025-01-15 beat | 1.24 | 1.35 | +8.7% | +3.7% | +6.5% | +4.7% | +8.1% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 1.32 | 1.52 | +15.8% | +1.1% | -5.1% | +1.5% | +10.0% |
| 2024-07-12 beat | 1.39 | 1.56 | +11.6% | +1.4% | -1.8% | +1.0% | -10.4% |
| 2024-04-12 beat | 1.27 | 1.79 | +41.0% | +2.6% | -1.7% | -0.9% | +6.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.