CACI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +2.5% | 6.0% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 57% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +2.2% | 7.9% | 73% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 7.23 | 8.91 | +23.2% | +6.7% | +21.4% | +6.6% | -0.8% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 6.93 | 7.27 | +5.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -4.8% |
| 2026-01-21 beat | 6.49 | 6.81 | +4.9% | +1.3% | +3.6% | -4.9% | -12.9% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 6.15 | 6.85 | +11.4% | +4.6% | +12.4% | -3.6% | +2.6% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 6.58 | 8.40 | +27.7% | +3.5% | +5.2% | -1.9% | -5.2% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 5.60 | 6.23 | +11.3% | +5.5% | +7.9% | +0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 5.20 | 5.95 | +14.4% | -4.6% | -9.3% | -8.3% | -22.4% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 5.04 | 5.93 | +17.7% | +3.2% | +5.4% | +0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 5.93 | 6.61 | +11.4% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +0.7% | +2.0% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 5.54 | 5.74 | +3.6% | +1.7% | +5.9% | +2.3% | +6.8% |
| 2024-01-24 miss | 4.48 | 4.36 | -2.7% | -0.7% | -1.7% | +3.6% | +10.3% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 4.55 | 4.36 | -4.1% | -6.2% | +1.5% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 4.90 | 5.30 | +8.1% | -4.7% | -3.7% | -4.4% | -7.1% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 4.66 | 4.92 | +5.7% | +4.7% | +3.9% | -2.8% | -5.0% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 4.34 | 4.28 | -1.3% | +1.9% | +4.2% | +0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 4.25 | 4.36 | +2.5% | +0.9% | +5.5% | +2.4% | +4.6% |
| 2022-08-10 miss | 4.57 | 4.54 | -0.6% | -3.8% | -2.1% | +3.0% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 4.80 | 4.64 | -3.3% | -1.1% | -3.6% | +1.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022-01-26 miss | 4.45 | 4.39 | -1.3% | -2.2% | -8.4% | +4.2% | +14.8% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 4.11 | 4.24 | +3.1% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +3.6% | -3.8% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | 5.55 | 5.74 | +3.5% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 3.70 | 4.78 | +29.1% | +0.0% | +1.1% | -1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 3.61 | 4.18 | +15.9% | +0.5% | -4.9% | -2.7% | -8.0% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 3.05 | 3.67 | +20.4% | +1.7% | +2.3% | +13.0% | +16.6% |
| 2020-08-12 beat | 3.47 | 3.68 | +6.2% | +3.3% | +5.6% | +1.8% | -1.1% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 3.28 | 3.16 | -3.7% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -0.1% | +0.5% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 2.78 | 3.11 | +11.8% | +5.0% | +4.8% | -2.0% | -10.3% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 2.67 | 2.66 | -0.2% | -1.3% | -0.4% | +1.0% | +6.0% |
| 2019-08-14 miss | 2.17 | 1.96 | -9.6% | -4.5% | -2.0% | +6.5% | +6.5% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 2.24 | 2.69 | +20.3% | +5.8% | +6.7% | +0.1% | -0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.