CAG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -1.4% | 3.5% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | +0.4% | 4.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.8% | -3.3% | -0.4% | +5.3% | +9.2% |
| 2026-04-01 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -2.6% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +0.2% | -9.4% |
| 2025-12-19 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +3.2% | +0.1% | -2.5% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2025-10-01 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +17.4% | +2.9% | +5.4% | -3.1% | -9.7% |
| 2025-07-10 miss | 0.58 | 0.56 | -3.6% | -5.2% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-04-03 miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -3.2% | +2.4% | +1.5% | -4.9% | -12.2% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +3.9% | -1.5% | -2.0% | +3.2% | -5.5% |
| 2024-10-02 miss | 0.60 | 0.53 | -11.3% | -8.0% | -8.1% | -2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2024-07-11 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.4% | -2.8% | -1.5% | +6.0% | +6.2% |
| 2024-04-04 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.2% | +7.0% | +5.4% | -2.1% | -0.2% |
| 2024-01-04 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.6% | +1.8% | -1.9% | +0.1% | -0.6% |
| 2023-10-05 beat | 0.60 | 0.66 | +10.7% | -2.8% | -2.0% | +2.4% | +7.0% |
| 2023-07-13 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.4% | +0.3% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -5.7% |
| 2023-04-05 beat | 0.64 | 0.76 | +18.9% | +0.0% | +1.8% | -1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2023-01-05 beat | 0.66 | 0.81 | +21.9% | +2.6% | +3.4% | +0.4% | -7.7% |
| 2022-10-06 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.4% | +0.1% | -3.7% | +5.6% | +10.5% |
| 2022-07-14 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +2.7% | -5.5% | -7.2% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2022-04-07 beat | 0.58 | 0.58 | +0.2% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +3.5% | +5.4% |
| 2022-01-06 miss | 0.68 | 0.64 | -5.6% | -1.1% | -1.8% | +2.5% | +4.3% |
| 2021-10-07 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.2% | +0.2% | -0.8% | -1.2% | -4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.