CAG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -1.4% | 4.1% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.2% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | +0.0% | 5.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.8% | -3.3% | -0.4% | +5.3% | +9.2% |
| 2026-04-01 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -2.6% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +0.2% | -9.4% |
| 2025-12-19 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +3.2% | +0.1% | -2.5% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2025-10-01 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +17.4% | +2.9% | +5.4% | -3.1% | -9.7% |
| 2025-07-10 miss | 0.58 | 0.56 | -3.6% | -5.2% | -4.4% | -2.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-04-03 miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -3.2% | +2.4% | +1.5% | -4.9% | -12.2% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +3.9% | -1.5% | -2.0% | +3.2% | -5.5% |
| 2024-10-02 miss | 0.60 | 0.53 | -11.3% | -8.0% | -8.1% | -2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2024-07-11 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.4% | -2.8% | -1.5% | +6.0% | +6.2% |
| 2024-04-04 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.2% | +7.0% | +5.4% | -2.1% | -0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.