CAPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 5.9% | 62% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 2.1% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.0% | 7.6% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.38 | 0.50 | +31.7% | +1.0% | +2.3% | +7.1% | +5.3% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | -0.16 | 0.13 | +182.1% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +6.6% | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.05 | 0.19 | +282.8% | +4.9% | +2.5% | +7.8% | +6.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.07 | 0.18 | +155.4% | +4.0% | +2.4% | +1.9% | -0.5% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.20 | — | -97.6% | +1.2% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.06 | -0.29 | -385.3% | -1.4% | -2.4% | +5.5% | -2.2% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.12 | +208.4% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +6.0% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -33.7% | +0.5% | -2.9% | -0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.06 | 0.31 | +416.7% | +1.8% | +4.4% | -1.6% | +1.7% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | -0.01 | -0.13 | -1240.0% | -0.8% | -4.6% | -7.1% | -4.4% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.22 | 0.44 | +98.7% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +2.1% | +6.4% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.17 | 0.30 | +77.6% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +5.8% | +8.9% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.24 | +60.0% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +3.5% | +5.3% |
| 2023-05-08 miss | 0.10 | -0.02 | -122.2% | -4.7% | -4.8% | -4.0% | -1.2% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.17 | 0.40 | +135.7% | +3.4% | +1.7% | +2.0% | -2.8% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.31 | 0.70 | +126.8% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +2.1% | -3.8% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +7.6% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +1.8% | -4.5% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -7.1% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +10.8% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.21 | 0.32 | +52.4% | +2.7% | +3.6% | -2.6% | +4.5% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +12.2% | -0.9% | +1.2% | -4.0% | -7.1% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -16.1% | +2.3% | -0.5% | -1.7% | +5.9% |
| 2021-05-10 miss | 0.09 | -0.10 | -217.7% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -2.5% |
| 2021-03-01 beat | 0.11 | 0.24 | +118.2% | +3.2% | +1.4% | +0.8% | +4.1% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.56 | +202.7% | +1.7% | +1.5% | +6.3% | +18.5% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.02 | 0.14 | +660.0% | +0.3% | +7.8% | +6.1% | +4.7% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.16 | 2.00 | +1150.0% | +3.6% | +2.9% | -6.1% | +18.6% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 0.19 | 0.12 | -35.7% | -2.8% | -8.2% | -1.6% | -39.5% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -20.0% | -0.5% | -3.5% | +4.7% | +4.9% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -9.8% | +6.5% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +3.7% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | 0.09 | 0.01 | -85.8% | -4.1% | -8.2% | -0.8% | +4.0% |
| 2019-02-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.21 | +42.7% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +3.4% | +4.4% |
| 2018-11-06 miss | 0.27 | 0.17 | -36.3% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +1.5% | -5.5% |
| 2018-08-06 miss | 0.09 | -0.04 | -147.8% | -1.1% | +0.6% | +3.5% | +4.4% |
| 2018-05-07 miss | 0.05 | -0.06 | -233.3% | -12.4% | -18.1% | +3.6% | -3.9% |
| 2018-02-26 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.4% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -6.3% | -15.9% |
| 2017-11-07 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +24.5% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -2.7% | -4.8% |
| 2017-08-07 miss | 0.14 | 0.07 | -49.0% | -2.3% | -2.4% | +4.6% | +4.7% |
| 2017-05-08 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -27.4% | -0.7% | -2.0% | +1.9% | +0.0% |
| 2017-02-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +5.9% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -5.4% | -4.5% |
| 2016-11-07 miss | 0.13 | 0.06 | -55.0% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -2.6% | +0.7% |
| 2016-08-05 miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -46.0% | -1.6% | +0.8% | +2.2% | +10.0% |
| 2016-05-06 miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -33.6% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +5.5% |
| 2016-02-19 miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -16.0% | -4.8% | -3.9% | +12.0% | +20.9% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.29 | +64.8% | +1.0% | +4.0% | -6.7% | -12.7% |
| 2015-08-07 miss | 0.09 | 0.02 | -74.1% | -1.4% | -10.9% | -2.9% | -4.3% |
| 2015-05-08 miss | 0.04 | -0.08 | -333.3% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -2.5% | +0.8% |
| 2015-02-27 miss | 0.23 | -0.75 | -424.6% | -0.7% | -4.7% | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +29.5% | -2.3% | -0.2% | +5.3% | -4.9% |
| 2014-08-06 | 0.10 | 0.10 | — | +19.3% | +30.9% | +4.0% | +4.6% |
| 2014-05-07 miss | 0.23 | 0.07 | -69.9% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2014-03-06 miss | 0.31 | 0.25 | -18.5% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -2.4% |
| 2013-11-07 miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -11.6% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -1.5% | -4.7% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.1% | +0.0% | +1.6% | -1.6% | +4.6% |
| 2013-05-13 miss | 0.36 | 0.25 | -30.6% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +6.2% | +4.6% |
| 2013-03-26 miss | 0.35 | 0.01 | -98.5% | -1.9% | +1.4% | -2.9% | +2.9% |
| 2012-12-10 miss | 0.39 | 0.25 | -35.9% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.