CARG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +3.8% | 10.9% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 5.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.9% | 2.7% | 70% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | +5.9% | 14.3% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +7.6% | +10.0% | +7.2% | -4.0% | -15.9% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.8% | -0.2% | -8.9% | -17.5% | -18.7% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.63 | 0.63 | -0.4% | -2.5% | +3.3% | +1.8% | +13.9% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.7% | +3.2% | +0.6% | +6.5% | +11.3% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +4.4% | -2.9% | -7.3% | +11.3% | +23.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +5.5% | +13.3% | +11.2% | +4.4% | +5.9% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.2% | -14.1% | -17.1% | +3.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.6% | +13.2% | +4.3% | +2.4% | +9.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +22.2% | +11.9% | +20.3% | +5.0% | -1.7% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +13.6% | +5.1% | +8.7% | -1.8% | +8.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.