CARR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.8% | 5.9% | 42% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +1.1% | 2.8% | 62% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 58% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +0.1% | 7.2% | 54% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +5.2% | -2.6% | -8.9% | +4.0% | -7.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +12.0% | +4.0% | +8.8% | +0.1% | -3.1% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.36 | 0.34 | -4.5% | +1.7% | -0.7% | +2.8% | -6.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +17.7% | +2.9% | +0.8% | -2.0% | -7.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +1.9% | -7.9% | -10.6% | -7.4% | -5.7% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +11.3% | +8.3% | +11.6% | +1.0% | +0.8% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +11.4% | -2.6% | -1.6% | +1.3% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.79 | 0.77 | -2.2% | -5.3% | -8.8% | -0.2% | +5.6% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.8% | -2.2% | -1.8% | +1.9% | +9.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.50 | 0.62 | +23.1% | +3.6% | +9.2% | +1.9% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +3.9% | -2.5% | -3.5% | -0.6% | +9.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.79 | 0.89 | +12.1% | +4.0% | -1.4% | +7.7% | +12.4% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.6% | -1.5% | +4.3% | +2.4% | -3.0% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 0.48 | 0.52 | +7.5% | -2.7% | -3.9% | +1.1% | +1.4% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.7% | -5.2% | -3.8% | +1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +8.0% | +2.5% | +2.0% | +3.9% | +14.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +12.0% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +5.9% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.54 | +15.4% | -9.9% | -2.1% | -3.7% | +2.1% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +13.9% | -0.4% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.1% | +0.1% | +2.4% | -2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.55 | 0.64 | +15.7% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +4.4% | +8.1% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.48 | +28.8% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +4.0% |
| 2021-02-09 miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -12.8% | -6.5% | -6.2% | +0.0% | +5.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.46 | 0.67 | +44.8% | +1.5% | +2.3% | +12.1% | +11.7% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.25 | 0.33 | +33.2% | -4.9% | -1.0% | +5.1% | +12.6% |
| 2020-05-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.7% | +3.8% | +11.9% | -9.0% | +26.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.