CAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | -0.9% | 4.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 1.7% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 2.3% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.2% | 5.5% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 6.20 | 8.17 | +31.8% | +11.1% | +5.6% | -3.8% | -9.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 4.64 | 5.54 | +19.3% | +5.8% | +9.9% | +0.6% | -2.8% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 4.71 | 5.16 | +9.5% | +1.8% | +3.4% | +2.0% | +13.1% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 4.52 | 4.95 | +9.4% | +6.4% | +11.6% | -2.8% | -1.7% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 4.90 | 4.72 | -3.7% | -1.4% | +0.1% | -5.0% | -3.2% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 4.34 | 4.25 | -2.2% | +2.5% | +0.6% | +3.6% | +12.5% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 5.03 | 5.14 | +2.2% | -5.0% | -4.6% | -2.5% | -11.5% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 5.35 | 5.17 | -3.4% | -3.5% | -2.1% | +9.9% | +7.1% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 5.54 | 5.99 | +8.1% | -0.9% | +3.0% | +3.8% | +2.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 5.13 | 5.60 | +9.1% | -9.1% | -7.0% | -0.8% | +3.2% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 4.75 | 5.23 | +10.1% | +6.3% | +2.0% | +0.1% | +4.4% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 4.79 | 5.52 | +15.2% | -6.0% | -6.7% | +3.9% | +10.9% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 4.58 | 5.55 | +21.2% | +2.9% | +8.9% | -2.0% | -2.2% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 3.79 | 4.91 | +29.5% | -2.6% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -1.2% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 4.03 | 3.86 | -4.2% | -1.7% | -3.5% | -1.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 3.17 | 3.95 | +24.8% | +6.7% | +7.7% | +3.4% | +9.5% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 3.02 | 3.18 | +5.4% | -3.5% | -5.8% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 2.60 | 2.88 | +10.6% | -3.1% | -0.7% | +1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 2.26 | 2.69 | +18.9% | -3.1% | -5.2% | -1.4% | -9.1% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 2.20 | 2.66 | +20.8% | +0.6% | +4.1% | -0.2% | -4.0% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 2.41 | 2.60 | +8.0% | -2.2% | -2.7% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.94 | 2.87 | +48.0% | +1.2% | -2.1% | +4.2% | +6.0% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 1.49 | 2.12 | +42.5% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +5.6% | +18.0% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.18 | 1.34 | +14.0% | -1.4% | -3.2% | +6.2% | +10.6% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.72 | 1.03 | +43.3% | -3.1% | -2.8% | +1.5% | +7.1% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 1.67 | 1.60 | -4.5% | +2.3% | +0.2% | -5.7% | +4.6% |
| 2020-01-31 beat | 2.38 | 2.63 | +10.3% | -1.1% | -3.0% | +1.5% | -5.3% |
| 2019-10-23 miss | 2.89 | 2.66 | -8.1% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +5.9% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 3.12 | 2.83 | -9.4% | -5.2% | -4.5% | -0.2% | -10.6% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 2.86 | 2.94 | +2.6% | -1.6% | -3.0% | +0.3% | -11.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.