CBOE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.6% | 3.2% | 67% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +2.4% | 5.3% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.49 | 3.56 | +2.0% | -3.0% | +4.6% | -7.6% | -3.2% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 3.37 | 3.70 | +9.7% | +4.8% | +9.0% | +6.6% | -15.7% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 2.95 | 3.06 | +3.8% | -2.8% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 2.53 | 2.67 | +5.6% | +1.1% | +3.7% | +4.5% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 2.43 | 2.46 | +1.1% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +1.9% | -6.4% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 2.36 | 2.50 | +5.8% | -1.0% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-02-07 miss | 2.12 | 2.10 | -0.9% | -0.2% | +2.0% | -4.2% | +0.0% |
| 2024-11-01 beat | 2.19 | 2.22 | +1.3% | -3.0% | -1.7% | -6.3% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.10 | 2.15 | +2.2% | +0.2% | +4.3% | +3.6% | +9.8% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 2.04 | 2.15 | +5.2% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +0.8% | -2.2% |
| 2024-02-02 beat | 2.03 | 2.06 | +1.3% | -2.0% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +4.1% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 1.86 | 2.06 | +10.6% | +0.2% | +4.1% | +3.2% | +7.4% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 1.77 | 1.78 | +0.4% | -0.7% | +4.0% | +3.2% | +2.4% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 1.87 | 1.90 | +1.5% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +1.6% | -3.6% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | 1.76 | 1.80 | +2.1% | -3.9% | +2.8% | +1.6% | -0.6% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 1.65 | 1.74 | +5.7% | +3.0% | +2.7% | -10.3% | +0.1% |
| 2022-07-29 miss | 1.69 | 1.67 | -1.2% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -2.4% | -2.5% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 1.68 | 1.73 | +3.2% | -0.8% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -0.6% |
| 2022-02-04 beat | 1.54 | 1.70 | +10.3% | -1.4% | +3.1% | +0.0% | -5.5% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 1.44 | 1.45 | +0.6% | -0.5% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 1.36 | 1.38 | +1.5% | +0.4% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +4.7% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.5% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +6.0% |
| 2021-02-05 miss | 1.23 | 1.21 | -1.8% | -2.1% | -5.8% | -0.2% | +15.8% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +3.7% | +1.0% | +2.6% | +4.1% | +15.0% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 1.24 | 1.31 | +5.7% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +4.7% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | 1.54 | 1.65 | +6.8% | -0.4% | -5.4% | +6.6% | +9.2% |
| 2020-02-07 beat | 1.13 | 1.21 | +6.8% | -2.3% | -4.2% | +2.5% | -9.5% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 1.15 | 1.29 | +12.4% | +3.8% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +4.5% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 1.07 | 1.13 | +5.4% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2019-05-03 beat | 0.99 | 1.11 | +12.0% | +0.9% | +1.1% | +2.4% | +8.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.