CBT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +2.9% | 7.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 3.4% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +0.8% | 3.2% | 65% |
| 5-day | +4.3% | +3.6% | 7.9% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.7% | -9.4% | -8.5% | +6.1% | +1.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.47 | 1.61 | +9.8% | +5.1% | +4.4% | +0.6% | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.38 | 1.53 | +10.8% | +5.0% | +10.4% | -3.6% | -11.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.68 | 1.70 | +1.4% | -2.8% | -7.1% | +0.3% | +4.7% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 1.83 | 1.90 | +3.8% | +4.3% | +8.7% | -2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 1.86 | 1.90 | +2.1% | -5.2% | -6.5% | +5.4% | +3.4% |
| 2025-02-03 miss | 1.77 | 1.76 | -0.7% | +0.9% | +3.9% | -2.5% | -4.7% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 1.79 | 1.80 | +0.5% | -2.2% | -1.1% | +3.4% | -4.8% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 1.71 | 1.92 | +12.4% | +9.1% | +16.4% | -6.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 1.66 | 1.78 | +7.3% | +4.7% | +5.3% | +1.1% | -2.8% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 1.49 | 1.56 | +4.8% | +0.9% | +7.9% | +4.1% | +14.6% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 1.48 | 1.65 | +11.7% | +8.3% | +8.3% | +9.1% | +9.4% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 1.55 | 1.42 | -8.2% | -6.5% | +1.8% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.3% | -2.4% | -3.5% | +0.4% | +9.7% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.99 | 0.98 | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.9% | +8.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +6.6% | +1.2% | -8.5% | +3.8% | +3.2% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 1.55 | 1.73 | +11.9% | -0.2% | -3.4% | +11.2% | +1.3% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 1.42 | 1.69 | +19.1% | +2.9% | +4.9% | -7.2% | +12.1% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 1.10 | 1.29 | +16.8% | +3.7% | +13.1% | +9.7% | +16.9% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +8.1% | +2.5% | -2.6% | +0.8% | -3.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.