CBT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.0% | 6.3% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 2.9% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 2.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +1.4% | 7.3% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.7% | -9.4% | -8.5% | +6.1% | +1.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.47 | 1.61 | +9.8% | +5.1% | +4.4% | +0.6% | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.38 | 1.53 | +10.8% | +5.0% | +10.4% | -3.6% | -11.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.68 | 1.70 | +1.4% | -2.8% | -7.1% | +0.3% | +4.7% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 1.83 | 1.90 | +3.8% | +4.3% | +8.7% | -2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 1.86 | 1.90 | +2.1% | -5.2% | -6.5% | +5.4% | +3.4% |
| 2025-02-03 miss | 1.77 | 1.76 | -0.7% | +0.9% | +3.9% | -2.5% | -4.7% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 1.79 | 1.80 | +0.5% | -2.2% | -1.1% | +3.4% | -4.8% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 1.71 | 1.92 | +12.4% | +9.1% | +16.4% | -6.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 1.66 | 1.78 | +7.3% | +4.7% | +5.3% | +1.1% | -2.8% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 1.49 | 1.56 | +4.8% | +0.9% | +7.9% | +4.1% | +14.6% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 1.48 | 1.65 | +11.7% | +8.3% | +8.3% | +9.1% | +9.4% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 1.55 | 1.42 | -8.2% | -6.5% | +1.8% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.3% | -2.4% | -3.5% | +0.4% | +9.7% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.99 | 0.98 | -0.9% | -0.4% | +1.9% | +8.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +6.6% | +1.2% | -8.5% | +3.8% | +3.2% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 1.55 | 1.73 | +11.9% | -0.2% | -3.4% | +11.2% | +1.3% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 1.42 | 1.69 | +19.1% | +2.9% | +4.9% | -7.2% | +12.1% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 1.10 | 1.29 | +16.8% | +3.7% | +13.1% | +9.7% | +16.9% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +8.1% | +2.5% | -2.6% | +0.8% | -3.0% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 1.18 | 1.35 | +14.8% | -3.8% | +0.7% | +0.8% | -4.1% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 0.97 | 1.38 | +42.6% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +7.3% | +12.0% |
| 2021-02-01 beat | 0.88 | 1.18 | +34.4% | +2.3% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +5.5% |
| 2020-11-23 beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +19.9% | +0.9% | +1.7% | -7.1% | -1.2% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.07 | -320.7% | -0.4% | +1.2% | +5.3% | -3.3% |
| 2020-05-11 beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +10.8% | -0.9% | -7.4% | +11.5% | +19.4% |
| 2020-02-03 miss | 0.74 | 0.69 | -6.2% | +4.8% | +5.0% | +1.9% | -13.0% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 1.11 | 1.05 | -5.5% | -3.7% | +3.6% | -1.2% | -6.9% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.4% | +1.0% | -1.3% | -0.1% | +6.6% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +1.9% | -1.0% | +2.1% | -5.7% | -5.4% |
| 2019-02-04 miss | 0.92 | 0.87 | -5.7% | -5.9% | -9.8% | +2.2% | +6.1% |
| 2018-11-05 miss | 1.09 | 1.00 | -8.2% | -4.6% | -2.5% | -3.7% | -9.0% |
| 2018-08-06 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.0% | -0.9% | -4.7% | +1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2018-05-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +5.2% | +1.2% | +7.6% | +2.0% | +6.2% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 0.78 | 0.93 | +18.7% | +0.5% | +4.1% | -3.1% | -7.1% |
| 2017-10-31 miss | 0.93 | 0.91 | -1.7% | +0.4% | +3.8% | +0.4% | -4.4% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | 0.87 | 0.81 | -7.0% | -1.8% | -3.9% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2017-05-01 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.2% | +0.8% | -6.8% | -8.3% | -6.2% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 0.70 | 0.84 | +20.1% | +2.4% | +2.4% | -0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2016-10-31 beat | 0.94 | 1.00 | +6.4% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -3.1% | +0.9% |
| 2016-07-27 miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -0.9% | +0.1% | +6.4% | -6.6% | -2.7% |
| 2016-05-02 miss | 0.77 | 0.70 | -9.6% | -4.1% | -8.3% | +0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2016-02-01 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.6% | -2.5% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +18.1% |
| 2015-11-02 beat | 0.66 | 0.78 | +19.1% | +2.5% | +13.7% | +1.3% | +6.2% |
| 2015-08-04 miss | 0.73 | 0.64 | -12.5% | -0.8% | -2.0% | -0.5% | -1.7% |
| 2015-04-29 miss | 0.63 | 0.53 | -15.2% | +3.8% | -5.8% | +0.1% | -3.7% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.80 | +24.7% | +4.8% | +6.8% | +6.6% | +6.2% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +3.1% | +0.1% | -7.7% | +2.6% | -3.3% |
| 2014-07-30 miss | 0.90 | 0.88 | -2.6% | -2.9% | -5.3% | -0.4% | +4.6% |
| 2014-04-30 miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -1.2% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2014-01-29 beat | 0.71 | 0.86 | +20.4% | +4.7% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +14.7% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +0.8% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2013-07-31 miss | 0.91 | 0.84 | -7.9% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2013-04-30 miss | 0.69 | 0.63 | -9.0% | -7.4% | -4.4% | +7.3% | +14.0% |
| 2013-01-30 miss | 0.77 | 0.66 | -14.2% | -3.0% | -12.9% | -0.9% | -3.6% |
| 2012-10-30 miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.0% | -0.6% | +2.6% | -3.0% | +1.2% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 0.99 | 1.00 | +0.8% | -2.1% | -6.3% | +2.0% | -5.2% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.79 | 0.96 | +22.0% | +2.4% | +3.9% | -6.2% | -19.8% |
| 2012-02-01 beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +13.5% | +1.0% | +9.0% | -0.4% | -3.8% |
| 2011-10-25 miss | 0.74 | 0.66 | -10.9% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +3.6% | -0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.