CC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.4% | -7.5% | 11.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +1.1% | 4.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +1.8% | 2.0% | 70% |
| 5-day | -3.8% | -5.8% | 11.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.1% | -10.7% | -18.6% | +4.5% | +6.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | -0.04 | 0.05 | +223.8% | -9.9% | -15.3% | +6.4% | -13.4% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +192.1% | -8.7% | -16.5% | +7.0% | +8.6% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.24 | 0.20 | -17.2% | -3.1% | +6.6% | -5.0% | -0.9% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.58 | +26.9% | +4.7% | -5.0% | +22.1% | +30.5% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 0.20 | 0.13 | -34.5% | -14.7% | -9.9% | +4.8% | +2.0% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | 0.16 | 0.11 | -29.4% | +3.6% | +3.9% | -9.6% | -15.6% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.28 | 0.40 | +41.1% | +14.4% | +15.5% | -3.7% | +3.4% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.58 | 0.38 | -34.0% | -13.8% | -11.9% | -11.8% | -9.3% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.17 | 0.32 | +87.2% | -0.5% | -2.8% | +5.8% | -4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.