CDLX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -11.4% | -12.9% | 30.9% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +3.0% | +1.8% | 10.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 8.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -12.4% | -18.7% | 33.5% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -1.35 | -0.81 | +40.3% | -2.4% | -13.9% | +21.0% | +2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -2.13 | -1.10 | +48.4% | +13.0% | -18.2% | -1.2% | -25.6% |
| 2026-03-04 beat | -0.70 | 0.30 | +142.9% | -6.9% | -9.3% | -18.0% | +44.6% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | -1.50 | -0.70 | +53.3% | -11.4% | -28.4% | +14.3% | -12.7% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -1.62 | -1.30 | +20.0% | -14.8% | -26.1% | -6.9% | -30.0% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | -2.67 | -2.10 | +21.2% | -6.9% | -12.0% | +4.7% | -5.8% |
| 2025-03-12 beat | -2.05 | — | +100.0% | +12.1% | +4.5% | +12.6% | -28.5% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -2.67 | -1.50 | +43.8% | -30.1% | -21.9% | -11.7% | -5.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -1.97 | -1.50 | +23.7% | -54.8% | -57.1% | +26.7% | +11.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -1.10 | -0.90 | +18.2% | -32.4% | -36.5% | +0.0% | -5.3% |
| 2024-03-14 miss | 1.65 | -2.90 | -275.8% | +52.7% | +77.2% | +9.7% | -14.4% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | -0.10 | 0.10 | +200.0% | -37.9% | -54.4% | +14.1% | +31.0% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | -4.31 | -2.40 | +44.3% | +22.1% | +19.8% | -3.0% | +23.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -4.43 | -2.50 | +43.6% | -18.1% | -27.3% | -6.8% | -8.0% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | -7.90 | -4.23 | +46.5% | -14.8% | -8.6% | -14.6% | -30.1% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | -4.49 | -5.02 | -11.9% | -31.7% | -53.4% | -18.6% | +4.0% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | -5.00 | -6.50 | -30.0% | -7.2% | +6.8% | +1.1% | -21.9% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | -5.54 | -3.80 | +31.4% | +6.3% | +4.9% | -21.8% | -22.9% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -3.64 | -1.50 | +58.8% | +9.8% | +14.0% | -11.6% | -10.3% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | -4.93 | -3.30 | +33.1% | +10.8% | +11.0% | -1.8% | -29.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.