CDNA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 10.9% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -1.1% | 8.7% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -1.6% | -0.2% | 7.8% | 47% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -6.7% | 20.6% | 37% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +59.5% | +11.5% | +14.7% | +6.8% | +14.6% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.13 | 0.34 | +161.5% | +2.1% | -5.1% | +0.7% | +9.7% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 0.23 | 0.12 | -47.1% | -11.3% | -4.1% | +3.3% | -5.4% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.28 | +97.6% | +8.5% | +13.8% | -1.3% | +12.1% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -18.0% | -7.5% | -7.9% | -2.1% | +10.5% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +46.4% | -3.4% | -10.7% | +2.1% | +13.3% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +22.0% | +6.1% | -0.2% | -10.3% | -14.7% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.01 | 0.14 | +1099.7% | -7.1% | -0.1% | +1.8% | +7.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -0.14 | 0.25 | +273.6% | +30.1% | +18.0% | +16.2% | +30.3% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -0.21 | -0.03 | +85.4% | -0.1% | +8.6% | +33.6% | +34.9% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | -0.27 | -0.17 | +36.1% | +0.1% | +9.5% | +12.2% | -3.0% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | -0.40 | -0.18 | +54.5% | +26.4% | +13.9% | +26.6% | +33.8% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.31 | -0.18 | +41.9% | +3.4% | -11.2% | -10.8% | -16.6% |
| 2023-05-10 miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -7.8% | -24.9% | -2.7% | -9.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +18.6% | +2.0% | +14.3% | -36.9% | -45.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.14 | -0.06 | +57.1% | +1.0% | -14.5% | -4.2% | -17.7% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -0.11 | -0.13 | -16.1% | -2.5% | +8.6% | -10.2% | -34.0% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | -0.04 | -0.13 | -205.9% | -4.1% | -18.6% | +1.8% | +1.8% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.03 | -0.03 | -192.3% | -6.8% | -1.9% | -13.4% | -3.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +250.0% | -14.4% | -27.5% | -7.8% | -15.4% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +100.0% | -3.3% | -4.0% | -3.0% | -4.2% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.01 | 0.14 | +2700.0% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -11.7% | +20.2% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +255.6% | +0.0% | +0.3% | -16.3% | -22.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | -0.06 | 0.10 | +266.7% | +3.0% | -4.0% | +10.2% | +20.3% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -0.04 | 0.04 | +200.0% | +3.6% | +5.5% | -11.5% | -9.0% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | -5.6% | +5.8% | +5.2% | +28.3% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +166.7% | -13.1% | +3.9% | +0.5% | -3.9% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +100.0% | -7.6% | -11.9% | -10.4% | -12.6% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | — | — | -100.0% | +13.1% | +3.0% | -29.2% | -37.8% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | -0.04 | 0.05 | +215.4% | +6.9% | +12.9% | +4.9% | +10.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.