CE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.2% | -1.8% | 9.2% | 35% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.1% | 2.3% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 55% |
| 5-day | -3.1% | -3.5% | 13.1% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 2.22 | 2.45 | +10.2% | +0.0% | -4.6% | +0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.90 | 0.85 | -5.2% | -8.0% | -10.0% | -3.5% | -17.9% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 0.91 | 0.67 | -26.3% | +3.5% | -1.6% | -8.8% | +10.0% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.22 | 1.34 | +9.6% | +8.6% | +14.4% | -5.7% | -2.7% |
| 2025-08-11 beat | 1.40 | 1.44 | +2.8% | -15.6% | -13.1% | +9.8% | +13.7% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.39 | 0.57 | +47.8% | +6.4% | +9.6% | +9.0% | +11.2% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.20 | 1.45 | +20.7% | -20.8% | -21.5% | -4.1% | +3.5% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 2.84 | 2.44 | -14.2% | -19.1% | -26.3% | -16.8% | -23.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 2.74 | 2.38 | -13.0% | -5.2% | -4.4% | -3.8% | -4.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 1.91 | 2.08 | +8.9% | +2.6% | -1.1% | -3.6% | -10.2% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 2.31 | 2.24 | -2.9% | -1.5% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +11.9% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 2.23 | 2.50 | +12.2% | -5.0% | -2.9% | +7.9% | +21.6% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 2.48 | 2.17 | -12.5% | -4.2% | +0.5% | -4.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 1.63 | 2.01 | +23.2% | +1.6% | -1.5% | +2.7% | +10.4% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 1.65 | 1.44 | -12.8% | -2.2% | +2.6% | +5.8% | -12.3% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 3.97 | 3.94 | -0.7% | -0.3% | -2.7% | +20.3% | +14.0% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 4.56 | 4.99 | +9.4% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -5.7% | -2.1% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 4.51 | 5.54 | +22.8% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +1.4% | +6.5% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 5.06 | 4.91 | -3.0% | +0.7% | -4.3% | +2.2% | -11.4% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 4.73 | 4.82 | +1.9% | +2.6% | +1.6% | -4.1% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.