CI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | -1.4% | 5.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.6% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 1.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.3% | -1.1% | 5.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 7.60 | 7.78 | +2.4% | -3.5% | -3.0% | -4.3% | -3.1% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 7.61 | 7.79 | +2.4% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -2.3% | -5.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 7.88 | 8.08 | +2.5% | +2.0% | +4.7% | +1.1% | -5.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 7.64 | 7.83 | +2.5% | -11.4% | -17.4% | +3.8% | +10.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 7.15 | 7.20 | +0.7% | -1.6% | -10.2% | +1.4% | +12.5% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 6.35 | 6.74 | +6.2% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -6.9% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 7.82 | 6.64 | -15.1% | -9.3% | -6.7% | +1.5% | +10.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 7.25 | 7.51 | +3.5% | +6.5% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +7.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 6.42 | 6.72 | +4.7% | -3.6% | -4.6% | +0.7% | +8.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 6.22 | 6.47 | +4.0% | +0.8% | -3.6% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2024-02-02 beat | 6.54 | 6.79 | +3.8% | +2.8% | +5.4% | +3.4% | +2.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 6.68 | 6.77 | +1.4% | -1.0% | +3.1% | -9.4% | -17.6% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 6.04 | 6.13 | +1.6% | -2.3% | -3.9% | +0.4% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 5.24 | 5.41 | +3.3% | +3.5% | +7.0% | -1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | 4.87 | 4.96 | +1.9% | +0.9% | -3.0% | +1.3% | -3.7% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 5.71 | 6.04 | +5.7% | +0.1% | +1.1% | -0.3% | +1.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 5.49 | 6.22 | +13.2% | +3.3% | +3.1% | +2.1% | +2.7% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 5.18 | 6.01 | +16.1% | +1.5% | +5.9% | -2.9% | -1.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 4.71 | 4.77 | +1.2% | -2.2% | -5.4% | +5.8% | +9.3% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 5.21 | 5.73 | +10.1% | +3.2% | -2.3% | +2.1% | -3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.