CLAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -2.0% | 11.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.5% | 3.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -0.9% | 3.9% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.2% | -4.4% | 11.7% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | -0.07 | 0.18 | +345.5% | +7.1% | +10.1% | -1.6% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | — | 0.02 | +700.0% | +5.9% | +4.2% | -9.3% | -3.0% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +38.5% | -1.3% | -3.5% | -7.0% | -11.0% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -9.1% | +9.2% | +12.9% | -7.6% | -6.3% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | -0.01 | -0.03 | -200.0% | -2.8% | -12.2% | +9.2% | +10.8% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.01 | -0.02 | -366.7% | +0.0% | -7.7% | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| 2025-03-05 miss | 0.09 | -0.08 | -188.9% | -1.2% | -0.9% | -4.7% | -15.3% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -37.5% | -14.1% | -7.2% | +1.6% | +10.9% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | — | -0.03 | -1300.0% | -11.3% | -13.9% | -8.5% | -17.5% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | +3.1% | +18.7% | -7.4% | -8.6% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | 0.10 | -0.07 | -167.7% | +0.4% | +24.3% | +3.2% | +0.5% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.16 | -42.9% | -1.4% | -11.7% | -0.8% | +18.4% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -36.0% | -8.9% | +7.1% | -10.7% | -26.0% |
| 2023-05-01 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -14.3% | -1.3% | -5.2% | -7.4% | -12.3% |
| 2023-02-27 miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -12.5% | -14.9% | +2.1% | -6.4% | -9.2% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.42 | 0.26 | -38.3% | -25.5% | -21.6% | +1.0% | -6.1% |
| 2022-08-01 miss | 0.39 | 0.33 | -14.4% | +8.8% | +1.5% | -0.5% | -27.4% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -5.5% | +5.3% | -8.3% | +17.7% | +6.2% |
| 2022-03-07 beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +23.9% | +14.0% | +3.9% | +8.7% | +1.4% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.0% | -1.8% | -3.1% | -1.3% | -8.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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