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CLAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -1.1% | 10.1% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 3.1% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 3.3% | 47% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -1.8% | 11.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | -0.07 | 0.18 | +345.5% | +7.1% | +10.1% | -1.6% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | — | 0.02 | +700.0% | +5.9% | +4.2% | -9.3% | -3.0% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +38.5% | -1.3% | -3.5% | -7.0% | -11.0% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -9.1% | +9.2% | +12.9% | -7.6% | -6.3% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | -0.01 | -0.03 | -200.0% | -2.8% | -12.2% | +9.2% | +10.8% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.01 | -0.02 | -366.7% | +0.0% | -7.7% | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| 2025-03-05 miss | 0.09 | -0.08 | -188.9% | -1.2% | -0.9% | -4.7% | -15.3% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -37.5% | -14.1% | -7.2% | +1.6% | +10.9% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | — | -0.03 | -1300.0% | -11.3% | -13.9% | -8.5% | -17.5% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | +3.1% | +18.7% | -7.4% | -8.6% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | 0.10 | -0.07 | -167.7% | +0.4% | +24.3% | +3.2% | +0.5% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.16 | -42.9% | -1.4% | -11.7% | -0.8% | +18.4% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -36.0% | -8.9% | +7.1% | -10.7% | -26.0% |
| 2023-05-01 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -14.3% | -1.3% | -5.2% | -7.4% | -12.3% |
| 2023-02-27 miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -12.5% | -14.9% | +2.1% | -6.4% | -9.2% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.42 | 0.26 | -38.3% | -25.5% | -21.6% | +1.0% | -6.1% |
| 2022-08-01 miss | 0.39 | 0.33 | -14.4% | +8.8% | +1.5% | -0.5% | -27.4% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -5.5% | +5.3% | -8.3% | +17.7% | +6.2% |
| 2022-03-07 beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +23.9% | +14.0% | +3.9% | +8.7% | +1.4% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.0% | -1.8% | -3.1% | -1.3% | -8.4% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +7.5% | +5.8% | +2.3% | -4.3% | -7.4% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +33.6% | -1.0% | +6.5% | -0.1% | +18.3% |
| 2021-03-08 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +4.9% | +5.2% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -2.7% |
| 2020-11-09 beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +26.3% | +5.0% | -1.1% | -5.5% | -6.0% |
| 2020-08-10 beat | -0.10 | -0.04 | +60.9% | -8.2% | -1.9% | +1.8% | +5.1% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -27.8% | -8.5% | -13.1% | +9.0% | +19.9% |
| 2020-03-09 beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +32.0% | +8.3% | +8.2% | -9.0% | -14.6% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 0.23 | 0.19 | -18.6% | -12.1% | -7.7% | +1.7% | +5.6% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -26.7% | -29.1% | -14.0% | -2.3% | -0.2% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +27.8% | +4.6% | +7.1% | -6.3% | -11.0% |
| 2019-03-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +1.8% | +1.1% | -1.7% | -0.6% | +6.6% |
| 2018-11-05 beat | 0.16 | 0.23 | +43.8% | +7.8% | +9.5% | +3.8% | -3.1% |
| 2018-08-06 beat | — | 0.09 | +2798.8% | -0.5% | +2.2% | +7.5% | +11.7% |
| 2018-05-07 miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -13.3% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2018-03-12 miss | 0.17 | 0.15 | -14.3% | +10.9% | +2.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +53.8% | +9.9% | +2.1% | +0.7% | +6.2% |
| 2017-08-07 miss | -0.03 | -0.11 | -266.6% | -1.4% | +0.0% | -5.7% | +0.7% |
| 2017-05-08 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +49.9% | +1.8% | +5.5% | +3.5% | +12.2% |
| 2017-03-06 miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -85.0% | -4.4% | -4.4% | -3.7% | -4.6% |
| 2016-10-31 beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +499.7% | +5.1% | +5.1% | +7.7% | +23.1% |
| 2016-08-01 miss | -0.06 | -0.08 | -33.3% | -0.2% | -1.7% | +14.5% | +10.8% |
| 2016-05-02 miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -154.5% | +0.0% | -3.8% | +6.6% | +5.4% |
| 2016-03-14 beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +64.2% | +9.6% | +1.1% | +1.0% | -4.2% |
| 2015-11-09 miss | 0.04 | -1.49 | -3841.8% | -14.3% | -22.8% | +0.0% | +15.0% |
| 2015-08-10 miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -11.5% | -3.2% | -12.8% | -7.5% | -10.4% |
| 2015-05-11 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +51.1% | +2.8% | +5.5% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2015-03-16 miss | 0.04 | — | -94.7% | +20.3% | +36.7% | +2.0% | -1.7% |
| 2014-11-03 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +10.9% | +5.1% | +9.2% | +3.6% | +7.6% |
| 2014-08-11 miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -96.7% | -8.7% | -8.8% | +4.6% | +1.6% |
| 2014-05-05 miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -44.8% | -0.5% | -2.2% | +4.9% | +1.6% |
| 2014-03-03 beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +431.0% | +6.1% | +5.7% | +3.2% | +6.0% |
| 2013-11-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -128.6% | -9.0% | -12.2% | -2.9% | -3.6% |
| 2013-08-05 miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -38.6% | -7.7% | -1.2% | +2.1% | +3.2% |
| 2013-05-06 miss | 0.04 | -0.08 | -321.8% | -4.2% | -9.6% | -1.8% | -1.2% |
| 2013-03-11 beat | -0.02 | 0.04 | +279.1% | +0.7% | +7.7% | +0.8% | +8.8% |
| 2012-11-05 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +28.6% | +0.2% | -6.8% | -2.7% | -8.6% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -30.9% | -2.0% | -9.2% | -2.5% | +4.3% |
| 2012-05-07 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +86.0% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +0.1% | +2.8% |
| 2012-03-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +9.1% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +13.3% | +5.4% |
| 2011-10-31 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +20.2% | -4.4% | -4.2% | +5.6% | -8.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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