CME chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 1.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.5% | 1.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -0.6% | 3.8% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 2.91 | 2.99 | +2.8% | +4.3% | +5.0% | +6.5% | +8.7% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | 3.37 | 3.36 | -0.2% | -3.3% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.74 | 2.77 | +1.0% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +2.7% | +7.6% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 2.63 | 2.68 | +2.0% | -1.8% | -0.3% | -2.3% | +2.8% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 2.92 | 2.96 | +1.4% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 2.81 | 2.80 | -0.3% | -3.4% | -1.5% | +6.0% | +7.8% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 2.45 | 2.52 | +3.0% | +1.7% | +3.0% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 2.65 | 2.68 | +1.0% | -2.3% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.53 | 2.56 | +1.0% | +1.4% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +6.3% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 2.45 | 2.50 | +2.0% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -0.2% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 2.28 | 2.37 | +3.9% | +1.5% | +3.7% | +1.3% | +1.1% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.3% | -3.1% | -0.1% | -1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 2.19 | 2.30 | +5.0% | +0.5% | +3.9% | +0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 2.38 | 2.42 | +1.9% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -4.3% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 1.88 | 1.92 | +2.0% | +0.3% | +5.4% | +0.5% | -6.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.94 | 1.98 | +2.2% | +0.4% | -2.2% | +0.6% | +1.8% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.93 | 1.97 | +1.9% | -1.0% | -3.8% | +0.9% | +1.6% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.00 | 2.11 | +5.3% | +2.0% | +5.9% | -2.3% | -12.8% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 1.64 | 1.66 | +1.2% | +2.4% | +3.4% | -4.2% | -9.4% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.55 | 1.60 | +3.0% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +1.6% | +2.3% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 1.61 | 1.64 | +2.0% | -1.0% | +0.7% | -2.3% | -6.6% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 1.76 | 1.79 | +1.9% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +1.0% | +8.5% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 1.36 | 1.39 | +1.9% | -0.4% | -3.5% | +4.7% | +12.9% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | 1.44 | 1.38 | -3.9% | -2.7% | -6.2% | +0.6% | +16.9% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | 1.64 | 1.63 | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -1.0% | +7.0% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 2.21 | 2.33 | +5.6% | +1.3% | -1.5% | -4.3% | +0.6% |
| 2020-02-12 miss | 1.55 | 1.52 | -1.9% | -1.7% | -1.9% | +0.7% | -12.3% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 1.75 | 1.90 | +8.6% | +1.4% | +2.0% | -3.1% | -1.1% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 1.76 | 1.76 | -0.1% | -1.3% | -1.5% | +7.4% | +10.9% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.1% | -2.3% | -2.0% | +1.7% | +9.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.