CMG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -1.9% | 9.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 42% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 2.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.2% | 10.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.0% | +7.0% | +12.5% | -12.5% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +1.4% | +6.4% | +3.0% | -2.1% | -10.1% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.9% | -3.7% | +1.9% | -6.8% | -11.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +0.9% | -21.4% | -18.2% | -6.1% | +5.3% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +1.3% | -12.5% | -13.3% | -6.3% | -4.6% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +4.7% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +1.4% | -5.1% | -2.6% | -0.4% | -12.7% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.6% | -5.2% | -7.9% | +3.5% | +10.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.0% | -2.5% | -1.9% | +5.2% | +5.7% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +14.5% | +2.9% | +6.3% | +1.0% | +1.3% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +6.5% | +3.0% | +7.2% | -1.8% | +0.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +6.9% | +4.3% | +4.5% | +8.1% | +16.9% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +3.0% | -7.8% | -9.8% | +2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.3% | +7.8% | +12.9% | +2.4% | +2.4% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -6.8% | -4.6% | -5.0% | +1.2% | -5.3% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +3.5% | -3.3% | -6.8% | -4.6% | +2.7% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +2.8% | +8.9% | +14.7% | +5.0% | +10.1% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +1.1% | +4.1% | +2.6% | -2.8% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +5.4% | +7.9% | +10.2% | -2.1% | -8.3% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +11.0% | +0.0% | -2.8% | -0.7% | -4.0% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +14.6% | +5.2% | +11.5% | +3.4% | +6.5% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +9.2% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +0.3% | -10.1% |
| 2021-02-02 miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -6.7% | -1.8% | -1.5% | +3.0% | -11.2% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +9.0% | -5.4% | -4.9% | -4.4% | -0.6% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +1.3% | -1.4% | -5.4% | +2.4% | +11.8% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +14.8% | +7.9% | +12.1% | +0.0% | +16.4% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +3.8% | +0.8% | -3.5% | +5.4% | -15.3% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +18.7% | -2.0% | -5.2% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +6.1% | +2.8% | +5.2% | +2.3% | +5.3% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +12.4% | +0.2% | -4.5% | +4.4% | -2.3% |
| 2019-02-06 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +20.6% | +8.1% | +11.4% | +3.2% | +5.3% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +7.0% | +2.2% | +3.4% | +8.7% | +8.0% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +2.2% | +6.1% | +5.7% | -1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +36.3% | +14.4% | +24.4% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +0.6% | -10.1% | -10.6% | +6.5% | +18.4% |
| 2017-10-24 miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -19.4% | -12.7% | -14.6% | -2.5% | +0.8% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +5.7% | +1.6% | -2.3% | +3.1% | -11.4% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +24.6% | +0.6% | +2.4% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +1.3% | +1.8% | -4.5% | +2.3% | +0.2% |
| 2016-10-25 miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -83.2% | -4.5% | -9.3% | +0.4% | +11.5% |
| 2016-07-21 miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -6.1% | -0.8% | +5.8% | -4.2% | -10.5% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +16.6% | -4.7% | -6.4% | +3.9% | +8.4% |
| 2016-02-02 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +16.9% | -3.4% | -2.9% | -2.8% | +14.6% |
| 2015-10-20 miss | 0.09 | 0.09 | -0.7% | -7.8% | -5.7% | -1.6% | -8.1% |
| 2015-07-21 beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +0.2% | +3.3% | +7.8% | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +6.2% | -5.4% | -7.4% | -1.7% | -1.2% |
| 2015-02-03 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +1.3% | -6.4% | -7.0% | -0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2014-10-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +8.1% | -4.3% | -7.0% | +6.3% | +8.4% |
| 2014-07-21 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +13.3% | +10.2% | +11.8% | +2.2% | +2.8% |
| 2014-04-17 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -7.8% | +5.5% | -5.9% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +0.1% | +12.0% | +11.7% | -0.5% | +6.0% |
| 2013-10-17 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -4.2% | +9.6% | +16.1% | +3.5% | +5.4% |
| 2013-07-18 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +0.4% | +5.9% | +8.5% | -0.8% | -1.3% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +14.7% | +5.0% | +11.5% | -1.2% | +2.9% |
| 2013-02-05 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.3% | +0.0% | +5.7% | -1.7% | -0.2% |
| 2012-10-18 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -1.7% | -11.9% | -15.0% | +3.5% | +13.4% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +11.3% | -18.7% | -21.5% | -6.6% | -5.7% |
| 2012-04-19 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +2.0% | -0.3% | -2.7% | +0.0% | -6.2% |
| 2012-02-01 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -1.0% | -1.1% | -2.1% | +3.8% | +8.3% |
| 2011-10-20 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +3.2% | +3.9% | +8.3% | +2.4% | -8.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.