CMP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.7% | -4.5% | 10.6% | 37% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.6% | 3.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.2% | 3.6% | 63% |
| 5-day | -2.2% | -3.5% | 13.7% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | -0.06 | -0.14 | -128.2% | -5.9% | -14.6% | +2.4% | -1.3% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.6% | -2.6% | +6.7% | +6.7% | +5.6% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.26 | 0.43 | +68.3% | -1.4% | -14.8% | +8.2% | +9.8% |
| 2025-12-08 beat | -0.23 | -0.17 | +25.3% | -4.3% | -13.8% | +6.7% | +27.8% |
| 2025-08-11 miss | -0.13 | -0.39 | -196.9% | -3.4% | -10.7% | -1.9% | -3.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | — | 0.63 | +14250.8% | +5.4% | +26.2% | +8.6% | +13.0% |
| 2025-02-10 miss | -0.05 | -0.55 | -1000.0% | -5.1% | -5.8% | +4.1% | -12.4% |
| 2024-12-16 miss | -0.52 | -0.77 | -48.1% | -5.2% | +1.4% | -15.9% | +8.4% |
| 2024-09-17 miss | -0.65 | -1.01 | -55.5% | +10.3% | +21.1% | -1.3% | +19.8% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.20 | 1.49 | +658.1% | -5.4% | +0.7% | -6.9% | -0.6% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.05 | -80.5% | -6.2% | -5.8% | +7.1% | -0.8% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | -0.10 | -0.06 | +42.0% | -3.2% | -4.1% | +3.4% | +11.3% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.12 | 1.01 | +964.6% | +1.4% | -5.7% | -16.0% | -21.1% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 0.61 | -0.46 | -175.3% | -2.1% | +1.3% | +8.1% | +14.4% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | 0.55 | — | -100.0% | -3.7% | -14.7% | +3.0% | -9.3% |
| 2022-11-29 beat | -0.25 | 0.01 | +104.0% | +1.4% | +8.1% | +0.1% | -7.6% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.29 | -0.16 | +44.7% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +14.4% | +2.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.90 | 0.33 | -63.5% | -3.0% | -18.3% | -10.2% | -7.3% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 0.47 | 0.38 | -19.9% | -2.8% | -6.8% | +5.6% | +15.6% |
| 2021-11-15 miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -32.1% | -9.1% | -20.8% | -7.3% | -4.7% |
| 2021-08-13 miss | -0.07 | -0.49 | -617.1% | -2.3% | -1.0% | -2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.63 | 0.95 | +50.8% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -2.8% | -1.9% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | 1.34 | 0.62 | -53.8% | -5.0% | -7.7% | +7.4% | +7.5% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | 0.44 | 0.07 | -84.2% | -5.7% | -4.9% | +5.3% | +12.4% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -0.18 | 0.04 | +121.9% | +4.2% | +7.4% | +5.1% | +0.7% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.57 | 0.80 | +39.6% | +6.7% | +1.0% | -8.4% | +14.5% |
| 2020-02-10 miss | 1.82 | 1.63 | -10.5% | +2.5% | +11.0% | -2.4% | -38.9% |
| 2019-11-05 miss | 0.71 | 0.36 | -49.1% | -7.3% | -7.0% | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | -0.14 | -0.29 | -107.3% | -2.7% | -6.4% | -4.0% | +0.8% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | — | 0.22 | +28671.4% | +0.7% | -3.3% | -3.9% | -8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.