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CMPS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.4% | 10.4% | 54% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 7.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 4.2% | 54% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.3% | 10.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Revenue bars are each fiscal quarter's total (a handful of quarters deep, not restated further back than that). The line is the closing share price as of each quarter's end, on its own right-hand scale -- it moves for a lot of reasons beyond revenue alone, so a rising line beside a flat bar isn't a contradiction.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | -0.33 | -0.36 | -6.6% | -1.7% | +15.1% | +4.7% | -2.1% |
| 2026-05-13 beat | -0.31 | -0.30 | +3.2% | +5.1% | +17.0% | -0.8% | +10.2% |
| 2026-03-24 miss | -0.39 | -0.61 | -55.5% | -0.7% | -2.2% | +5.9% | +75.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | -0.40 | -0.38 | +5.3% | +9.6% | +11.4% | -14.0% | -14.3% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | -0.37 | -0.41 | -11.2% | +2.0% | +10.4% | -0.9% | +1.6% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -0.49 | -0.42 | +14.6% | +6.7% | +0.5% | +5.1% | +24.2% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | -0.64 | -0.63 | +1.8% | +15.3% | +5.9% | +2.6% | -25.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | -0.59 | -0.56 | +4.4% | -31.3% | -23.1% | +11.3% | -5.7% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | -0.55 | -0.56 | -2.6% | +1.2% | -9.8% | +1.7% | +8.7% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | -0.44 | -0.55 | -25.9% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -2.6% | -18.4% |
| 2024-02-29 miss | -0.34 | -0.53 | -57.0% | -4.0% | -17.0% | +9.8% | -5.7% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -0.42 | -0.67 | -57.6% | -3.8% | +2.9% | -9.2% | +2.5% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.70 | -0.62 | +11.6% | -2.1% | +0.3% | -8.8% | +3.9% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | -0.65 | -0.57 | +11.8% | +1.0% | -0.8% | -1.2% | -5.8% |
| 2023-02-28 miss | -0.63 | -0.73 | -15.1% | -2.5% | -2.0% | -2.1% | +28.2% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.64 | -0.43 | +32.8% | +4.1% | +4.8% | -2.1% | +5.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.60 | -0.50 | +17.2% | -0.2% | +9.1% | -1.0% | -4.2% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | -0.65 | -0.50 | +23.5% | +6.2% | +11.4% | +9.4% | +19.4% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.50 | -0.61 | -22.9% | -17.0% | +4.5% | +0.6% | -5.4% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | -0.47 | -0.38 | +19.9% | -5.6% | -16.4% | -2.4% | -25.7% |
| 2021-08-11 miss | -0.37 | -0.44 | -18.9% | -1.2% | -7.6% | +3.5% | +14.1% |
| 2021-05-13 beat | -0.52 | -0.35 | +33.1% | +4.4% | -6.3% | +10.4% | +19.2% |
| 2021-03-09 beat | -1.39 | -0.52 | +62.7% | +4.8% | +12.0% | -5.8% | -16.0% |
| 2020-11-12 beat | -0.68 | -0.46 | +32.4% | +0.1% | -2.8% | -2.5% | +58.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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