CNF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.5% | +2.8% | 4.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.0% | 3.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -1.8% | 6.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-28 miss | 0.40 | 0.10 | -75.0% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -2.4% | -11.6% |
| 2023-11-29 | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | -0.5% | +2.3% | -5.4% | +0.5% |
| 2023-08-29 miss | 0.40 | 0.30 | -25.0% | -1.3% | +12.5% | -5.3% | +7.3% |
| 2023-05-26 | 0.30 | 0.30 | — | +4.4% | -0.7% | -3.1% | +3.1% |
| 2023-03-22 miss | 0.30 | 0.20 | -33.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.4% | +14.2% |
| 2022-11-22 beat | 0.10 | 0.30 | +200.0% | -3.8% | +3.4% | +4.2% | -13.5% |
| 2022-08-24 miss | 0.30 | 0.10 | -66.7% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +6.7% | +4.7% |
| 2022-05-26 | — | 0.30 | — | +7.8% | +7.4% | +0.8% | +29.4% |
| 2022-03-18 miss | -0.50 | -0.80 | -60.0% | -1.7% | +5.1% | -12.2% | -15.8% |
| 2021-11-23 miss | 0.30 | 0.10 | -66.7% | -7.1% | +4.8% | -9.0% | -34.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.