CNS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 3.4% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 2.9% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 67% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +0.9% | 5.9% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 miss | 0.86 | 0.85 | -0.6% | -7.8% | +4.4% | -3.9% | -1.5% |
| 2026-04-16 miss | 0.82 | 0.79 | -3.7% | -2.5% | +3.1% | +1.6% | +8.4% |
| 2026-01-22 | 0.81 | 0.81 | — | -1.4% | -4.2% | -2.5% | +1.6% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.9% | -1.2% | +5.8% | +2.5% | -14.3% |
| 2025-07-17 miss | 0.76 | 0.73 | -3.3% | +1.1% | -3.8% | +3.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.2% | -3.0% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +10.0% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.0% | +0.6% | +3.0% | -0.5% | -2.8% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +3.8% | +3.8% | +4.1% | -4.6% | -4.6% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.3% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-17 miss | 0.73 | 0.70 | -4.4% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +5.7% | +10.9% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.7% | +3.6% | +2.5% | +1.1% | +2.8% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 0.76 | 0.70 | -7.3% | -0.1% | -2.6% | -3.0% | +9.9% |
| 2023-07-19 miss | 0.73 | 0.70 | -3.5% | -5.4% | -0.9% | +0.6% | -2.8% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 0.68 | 0.76 | +11.8% | +1.5% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -7.7% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 0.81 | 0.79 | -1.9% | -1.1% | -3.3% | +11.7% | +3.9% |
| 2022-10-19 | 0.92 | 0.92 | — | -9.3% | -1.4% | +5.1% | +16.0% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.7% | -1.4% | -0.9% | +4.6% | +10.1% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 0.95 | 1.04 | +9.2% | -1.2% | -3.2% | -3.9% | -13.6% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.98 | 1.24 | +26.5% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -0.7% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.98 | 1.06 | +8.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +2.2% | +7.5% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +9.7% | -3.7% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +8.1% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.2% | +0.9% | -2.4% | +2.7% | +8.2% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 0.67 | 0.76 | +12.9% | +1.3% | +0.6% | -0.1% | -3.3% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +11.1% | +1.6% | +0.7% | -2.1% | +19.8% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.9% | -1.5% | -6.5% | -4.4% | -3.5% |
| 2020-04-22 miss | 0.64 | 0.61 | -5.2% | -4.8% | +1.9% | +17.4% | +29.8% |
| 2020-01-22 beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +9.2% | +2.8% | +9.6% | +2.5% | +3.2% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.7% | +1.1% | +4.5% | +3.9% | +7.0% |
| 2019-07-17 miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -1.6% | -0.4% | +1.9% | -1.6% | +0.0% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.9% | -1.8% | +2.3% | +1.4% | +3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.