COO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.7% | -4.5% | 9.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 2.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 1.7% | 44% |
| 5-day | -1.8% | -8.1% | 9.9% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.7% | -18.3% | -14.7% | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 beat | 1.09 | 1.21 | +10.5% | +5.2% | +8.6% | +0.8% | +3.4% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 1.03 | 1.10 | +7.0% | -4.0% | -4.6% | -8.7% | -9.0% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 1.11 | 1.15 | +3.3% | +16.4% | +5.7% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +3.0% | -16.0% | -12.9% | +5.4% | +4.8% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +3.3% | -10.0% | -14.6% | +5.9% | +6.6% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +0.9% | -5.3% | -6.6% | -4.4% | -13.8% |
| 2024-12-05 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.0% | -3.7% | -4.4% | -3.9% | -6.9% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | 0.91 | 0.96 | +5.4% | +10.1% | +11.8% | +0.8% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.6% | +6.4% | +4.5% | +0.1% | -8.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.