CP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 2.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.9% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.1% | 4.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.27 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +6.8% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.07 | 1.04 | -2.6% | +1.8% | +3.2% | -2.0% | +2.0% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 1.35 | 1.33 | -1.2% | +2.0% | +5.7% | +4.3% | +17.9% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.6% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -5.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 1.13 | 1.12 | -1.3% | -1.4% | -2.9% | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.3% | +1.4% | +0.4% | +1.4% | +11.9% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +4.1% | +2.9% | +1.2% | -1.8% | -5.0% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 1.01 | 0.99 | -1.8% | -1.1% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +4.8% | +3.0% | +2.1% | -7.7% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -1.0% | -0.8% | -6.6% | -5.3% | -3.2% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 1.12 | 1.18 | +5.8% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +6.1% | +7.2% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.2% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +5.1% | -0.2% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.93 | 0.83 | -11.2% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -5.2% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -1.9% | +0.9% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +5.0% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.5% | +1.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +9.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.2% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +2.4% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -5.7% | -1.9% | +3.9% | -3.6% | -5.7% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -2.5% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -4.6% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 0.93 | 0.88 | -5.5% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +1.3% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.