CP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +0.9% | 2.9% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 2.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.6% | 4.7% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.27 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +6.8% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.07 | 1.04 | -2.6% | +1.8% | +3.2% | -2.0% | +2.0% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 1.35 | 1.33 | -1.2% | +2.0% | +5.7% | +4.3% | +17.9% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.6% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -5.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 1.13 | 1.12 | -1.3% | -1.4% | -2.9% | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.3% | +1.4% | +0.4% | +1.4% | +11.9% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +4.1% | +2.9% | +1.2% | -1.8% | -5.0% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 1.01 | 0.99 | -1.8% | -1.1% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +4.8% | +3.0% | +2.1% | -7.7% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -1.0% | -0.8% | -6.6% | -5.3% | -3.2% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 1.12 | 1.18 | +5.8% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +6.1% | +7.2% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.2% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +5.1% | -0.2% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.93 | 0.83 | -11.2% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -5.2% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -1.9% | +0.9% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +5.0% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.5% | +1.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +9.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.2% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +2.4% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -5.7% | -1.9% | +3.9% | -3.6% | -5.7% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -2.5% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -4.6% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 0.93 | 0.88 | -5.5% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +1.3% | +1.1% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +2.2% | +1.8% | +2.0% | +0.3% | -2.2% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +3.8% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +1.9% | +10.1% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.9% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +1.1% | +6.3% |
| 2020-10-20 miss | 0.85 | 0.82 | -2.6% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -3.7% | +5.4% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +2.5% | +9.0% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.5% | +1.6% | +4.3% | +4.8% | +7.0% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 0.93 | 0.95 | +2.2% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +3.1% | -5.8% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +2.5% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +0.0% | +3.8% |
| 2019-07-16 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.5% | +1.6% | +3.9% | -3.8% | -4.7% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 0.60 | 0.56 | -7.1% | +0.4% | +2.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2019-01-23 beat | 0.85 | 0.91 | +7.2% | +2.5% | +3.4% | +1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2018-10-18 beat | 0.82 | 0.82 | +0.6% | +1.6% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +5.1% |
| 2018-07-18 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.1% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2018-04-18 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.1% | +0.1% | -1.7% | +3.4% | +3.3% |
| 2018-01-18 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.5% | +0.4% | +2.5% | +0.1% | -2.5% |
| 2017-10-17 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.7% | +3.5% | +5.9% | -1.6% | -4.5% |
| 2017-07-19 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.0% | +0.8% | +0.4% | -3.3% | -6.3% |
| 2017-04-19 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.3% | +1.9% | +2.6% | +0.0% | +1.2% |
| 2017-01-18 miss | 0.62 | 0.61 | -2.2% | +0.2% | +3.5% | +2.9% | -0.4% |
| 2016-10-19 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -2.2% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -4.4% | -2.8% |
| 2016-07-20 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.9% | -0.8% | +5.3% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2016-04-20 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.0% | -2.4% | -0.6% | -2.5% | -13.9% |
| 2016-01-21 miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -1.6% | -0.3% | +0.5% | +15.0% | +21.6% |
| 2015-10-20 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.6% | +1.2% | +3.5% | -4.6% | -3.2% |
| 2015-07-21 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -1.2% | -1.1% | -5.2% | +4.6% | +0.6% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +2.8% | +0.7% | -2.6% | +3.2% | -8.1% |
| 2015-01-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.6% | -2.0% | -0.8% | -2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2014-01-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.1% | -0.5% | +4.1% | +0.4% | +6.4% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +9.6% | +2.3% | +9.2% | +1.1% | +4.4% |
| 2013-07-24 miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -4.5% | +0.1% | -2.4% | -0.6% | -1.3% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.2% | +0.7% | -0.9% | +0.4% | +9.2% |
| 2013-01-29 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.4% | -0.1% | +3.5% | -1.9% | +4.8% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.3% | +2.2% | +5.7% | +0.7% | -1.1% |
| 2012-07-25 miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -0.8% | +0.6% | +5.8% | +4.5% | +7.8% |
| 2012-04-20 beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +1.1% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +1.6% | -2.3% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +18.6% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +5.0% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +0.2% | -1.6% | -1.7% | +4.4% | -4.3% |
| 2011-07-27 miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -0.4% | -0.1% | -1.1% | +1.7% | -8.9% |
| 2011-04-21 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -6.7% | +0.8% | -0.6% | +5.7% | -2.8% |
| 2011-01-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.1% | +0.7% | +3.1% | -2.1% | -2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.