CPB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.3% | -2.4% | 4.4% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.6% | 2.6% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.8% | +1.4% | 2.1% | 90% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | -3.7% | 6.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.7% | -6.1% | -6.9% | -5.1% | — |
| 2026-06-08 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.5% | +2.3% | -0.9% | +3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2026-03-11 miss | 0.57 | 0.51 | -10.6% | -4.2% | -7.1% | -8.1% | -10.9% |
| 2025-12-09 beat | 0.73 | 0.77 | +5.0% | +1.8% | -5.2% | +0.7% | -7.2% |
| 2025-09-03 beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +8.8% | +4.1% | +7.2% | -0.7% | -6.3% |
| 2025-06-02 beat | 0.66 | 0.73 | +11.4% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -6.7% |
| 2025-03-05 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.3% | -4.9% | -2.9% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2024-12-03 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +1.9% | -4.4% | -6.2% | +0.7% | -5.1% |
| 2024-08-29 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.6% | -1.1% | -1.8% | +5.4% | -0.7% |
| 2024-06-05 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.5% | -2.1% | -0.2% | -3.0% | +2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.