CR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +2.8% | 6.1% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.0% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 70% |
| 5-day | +5.6% | +9.7% | 7.8% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.68 | 1.79 | +6.8% | -3.9% | -8.7% | +7.9% | +1.1% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 1.45 | 1.65 | +14.0% | +4.1% | -2.8% | -1.1% | +2.0% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 1.41 | 1.53 | +8.2% | -4.1% | -11.5% | +2.6% | +10.0% |
| 2025-10-27 | 1.32 | — | — | +3.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -4.4% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.33 | 1.49 | +11.7% | +2.1% | +4.4% | -1.3% | -2.3% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.31 | 1.39 | +6.5% | +7.6% | +6.9% | +4.8% | +9.1% |
| 2025-01-27 beat | 1.21 | 1.26 | +4.3% | +5.2% | +12.4% | -2.6% | -8.6% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 1.32 | 1.38 | +4.5% | +1.7% | +4.2% | +6.4% | +14.3% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.30 | +4.9% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -4.5% | +2.3% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 1.13 | 1.22 | +8.4% | +3.9% | +5.6% | +1.4% | +6.2% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.83 | 0.90 | +8.9% | +4.4% | +8.2% | +1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2023-10-23 beat | 0.87 | 1.03 | +18.9% | +1.2% | +13.6% | +3.7% | +14.6% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 0.93 | 1.10 | +18.5% | -2.3% | +2.4% | -1.2% | -7.1% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.85 | 1.25 | +47.8% | -0.4% | -1.8% | +0.0% | +6.2% |
| 2023-01-23 beat | 1.90 | 2.13 | +12.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-10-24 beat | 1.85 | 1.86 | +0.6% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 1.81 | 1.90 | +4.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-04-25 beat | 1.68 | 1.81 | +7.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-01-24 beat | 1.13 | 1.25 | +11.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 1.36 | 1.89 | +38.9% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.