CR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.6% | +2.8% | 3.5% | 90% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 1.1% | 90% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 0.8% | 90% |
| 5-day | +9.3% | +11.2% | 5.2% | 90% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.68 | 1.79 | +6.8% | -3.9% | -8.7% | +7.9% | +1.1% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 1.45 | 1.65 | +14.0% | +4.1% | -2.8% | -1.1% | +2.0% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 1.41 | 1.53 | +8.2% | -4.1% | -11.5% | +2.6% | +10.0% |
| 2025-10-27 | 1.32 | — | — | +3.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -4.4% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.33 | 1.49 | +11.7% | +2.1% | +4.4% | -1.3% | -2.3% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.31 | 1.39 | +6.5% | +7.6% | +6.9% | +4.8% | +9.1% |
| 2025-01-27 beat | 1.21 | 1.26 | +4.3% | +5.2% | +12.4% | -2.6% | -8.6% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 1.32 | 1.38 | +4.5% | +1.7% | +4.2% | +6.4% | +14.3% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.30 | +4.9% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -4.5% | +2.3% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 1.13 | 1.22 | +8.4% | +3.9% | +5.6% | +1.4% | +6.2% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.83 | 0.90 | +8.9% | +4.4% | +8.2% | +1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2023-10-23 beat | 0.87 | 1.03 | +18.9% | +1.2% | +13.6% | +3.7% | +14.6% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 0.93 | 1.10 | +18.5% | -2.3% | +2.4% | -1.2% | -7.1% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.85 | 1.25 | +47.8% | -0.4% | -1.8% | +0.0% | +6.2% |
| 2023-01-23 beat | 1.90 | 2.13 | +12.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-10-24 beat | 1.85 | 1.86 | +0.6% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 1.81 | 1.90 | +4.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-04-25 beat | 1.68 | 1.81 | +7.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-01-24 beat | 1.13 | 1.25 | +11.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 1.36 | 1.89 | +38.9% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 1.39 | 1.83 | +32.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 1.29 | 1.66 | +28.3% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021-01-25 miss | 1.10 | 1.00 | -9.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | 0.80 | 1.05 | +30.7% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.64 | +35.9% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2020-04-27 miss | 1.26 | 1.15 | -8.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2020-01-27 miss | 1.58 | 1.58 | -0.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2019-10-28 miss | 1.53 | 1.40 | -8.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2019-07-22 beat | 1.56 | 1.58 | +1.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 1.39 | 1.45 | +4.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2019-01-28 beat | 1.53 | 1.64 | +6.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2018-10-22 beat | 1.46 | 1.62 | +10.7% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2018-07-23 beat | 1.35 | 1.41 | +4.4% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2018-04-23 beat | 1.27 | 1.31 | +3.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2018-01-29 beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +0.9% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2017-10-23 beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +2.9% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2017-07-24 beat | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2017-04-24 beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +5.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2017-01-30 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +4.4% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2016-10-24 beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.7% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2016-07-25 beat | 1.02 | 1.21 | +18.3% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2016-04-25 beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.0% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2016-01-25 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.6% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2015-10-26 miss | 1.06 | 1.03 | -2.6% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2015-07-27 miss | 1.06 | 1.06 | -0.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2015-04-27 miss | 1.00 | 0.92 | -8.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2015-01-26 beat | 1.13 | 1.13 | +0.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2014-10-27 miss | 1.18 | 1.12 | -5.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2014-07-28 miss | 1.16 | 1.15 | -0.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2014-04-28 beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +1.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2014-01-27 beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +1.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2013-10-28 miss | 1.07 | 1.04 | -2.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2013-07-22 beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +2.4% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2013-04-22 beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +1.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2013-01-28 miss | 0.96 | 0.92 | -4.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2012-10-22 beat | 0.96 | 0.99 | +3.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2012-07-23 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +1.9% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2012-04-23 miss | 0.91 | 0.88 | -3.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2012-01-23 miss | 0.90 | 0.88 | -2.3% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2011-10-24 beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +1.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% | -2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.