CRSP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.6% | +0.5% | 6.6% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 4.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | -0.5% | 4.1% | 45% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +0.4% | 10.3% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | -1.18 | -0.94 | +20.6% | +2.0% | +7.1% | +1.9% | +7.3% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | -1.23 | -1.28 | -3.7% | -1.8% | -2.2% | +0.9% | +8.7% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | -1.23 | -1.37 | -11.7% | +1.7% | +8.5% | +1.7% | -5.6% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | -1.29 | -1.17 | +9.2% | +5.3% | -1.0% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | -1.40 | -1.29 | +7.8% | -8.9% | -6.7% | +1.8% | -5.1% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | -1.28 | -1.58 | -23.8% | +4.1% | +3.3% | +3.9% | +22.2% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | -1.19 | -0.44 | +62.9% | +2.7% | +9.3% | +16.5% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | -1.40 | -1.01 | +28.1% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +0.7% | -1.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | -1.43 | -1.49 | -4.4% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -8.3% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -1.46 | -1.43 | +2.4% | -2.2% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +12.0% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 0.05 | 1.10 | +2212.9% | +4.8% | +4.7% | +6.4% | -9.6% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -1.95 | -1.41 | +27.7% | +1.7% | +13.6% | -5.6% | +19.9% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -2.10 | -0.98 | +53.4% | +1.9% | +9.7% | -8.2% | -7.0% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | -1.64 | -0.67 | +59.1% | +0.9% | +13.3% | -2.7% | -1.3% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | -2.27 | -1.41 | +37.9% | +2.5% | +8.0% | -5.3% | -14.4% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | -2.24 | -2.24 | -0.1% | -0.1% | +5.1% | -10.5% | -0.3% |
| 2022-08-08 miss | -2.21 | -2.40 | -8.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -20.1% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | -1.97 | -2.32 | -17.6% | +2.9% | +9.4% | +14.9% | +51.6% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | -1.78 | -1.84 | -3.4% | -2.2% | +1.6% | -7.8% | +9.6% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -1.76 | -1.67 | +5.3% | -1.3% | -4.0% | -5.5% | -23.5% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 3.12 | 9.44 | +202.6% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +13.0% | -0.3% |
| 2021-04-27 miss | -1.47 | -1.51 | -2.5% | -2.4% | +1.9% | -16.0% | -12.6% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | -1.28 | -1.52 | -19.2% | -3.3% | -3.4% | -11.0% | -17.6% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | -1.19 | -1.32 | -11.2% | -5.0% | -3.5% | +0.8% | +28.3% |
| 2020-07-27 miss | -0.99 | -1.30 | -31.6% | -0.9% | -6.2% | +9.5% | +2.9% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | -1.04 | -1.15 | -10.3% | +1.4% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +24.2% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.05 | 0.51 | +839.6% | +5.5% | +0.6% | -8.8% | -42.1% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 1.79 | 2.40 | +33.8% | +2.5% | +12.5% | +8.8% | +53.3% |
| 2019-07-29 miss | -0.90 | -1.01 | -12.8% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -6.3% | -9.1% |
| 2019-04-29 miss | -0.90 | -0.93 | -3.5% | -1.4% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -9.0% |
| 2019-02-25 miss | -0.78 | -0.92 | -18.5% | +10.4% | +25.2% | +0.7% | -12.2% |
| 2018-11-07 miss | -0.74 | -1.07 | -44.1% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -3.5% | -5.3% |
| 2018-08-07 miss | -0.64 | -0.82 | -28.0% | -2.0% | -3.2% | -0.1% | +6.5% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | -0.67 | -0.62 | +7.5% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +11.1% | +28.9% |
| 2018-03-08 beat | -0.67 | — | +100.0% | +3.7% | +5.6% | -8.7% | -13.1% |
| 2017-11-08 miss | -0.60 | -0.62 | -3.2% | +0.0% | -5.5% | +8.7% | +8.6% |
| 2017-08-10 beat | -0.62 | -0.56 | +9.3% | +3.7% | +8.0% | -4.6% | -1.6% |
| 2017-05-11 beat | -0.65 | -0.54 | +16.7% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -6.1% | -15.4% |
| 2017-03-10 miss | -0.49 | -0.62 | -27.7% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +0.3% | -10.7% |
| 2016-11-22 beat | -0.38 | -0.37 | +2.9% | +1.6% | -3.5% | +8.7% | +0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.