CSX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.4% | 3.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.6% | 4.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +4.2% | +4.1% | +5.8% | -5.0% | -2.3% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.6% | +5.3% | +6.9% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2026-01-22 miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -5.3% | +3.3% | +2.4% | +3.1% | +15.9% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +3.8% | +2.5% | +1.7% | -1.3% | -7.1% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.7% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -1.2% |
| 2025-04-16 miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -7.7% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +12.8% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.0% | -4.8% | -2.9% | +0.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-10-16 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -3.6% | -4.4% | -6.7% | +0.0% | +6.2% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.5% | -2.6% | +2.6% | -1.9% | +0.5% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.7% | +1.7% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.9% | +0.4% | +1.8% | +3.7% | +9.1% |
| 2023-10-19 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.0% | +2.3% | +0.7% | -4.9% | +4.2% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.3% | -5.3% | -3.7% | +4.1% | -5.4% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 0.43 | 0.48 | +12.5% | +3.5% | +3.3% | -3.7% | +0.3% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.6% | -1.5% | -2.9% | +8.3% | +2.1% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +5.2% | +2.4% | +1.7% | +6.1% | +13.6% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +8.3% | +1.8% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +9.2% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.3% | +5.9% | +2.8% | -3.0% | -14.8% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.2% | -0.5% | -3.2% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +14.5% | +2.5% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +3.1% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.3% | +3.8% | +3.5% | -1.8% | +3.2% |
| 2021-04-20 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.3% | +0.5% | +4.3% | -1.2% | -4.3% |
| 2021-01-21 miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -2.1% | -2.3% | -4.3% | -2.1% | +4.6% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.5% | +4.4% | +3.8% | -4.7% | +12.0% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +1.6% | -1.6% | -2.4% | -1.8% | +3.6% |
| 2020-04-22 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +5.6% | +4.9% | +1.0% | +7.7% | +11.5% |
| 2020-01-16 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +2.6% | -1.6% | -0.4% | -1.6% | +4.9% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.2% | +2.8% | +1.1% | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| 2019-07-16 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.4% | -7.8% | -10.3% | -3.0% | -9.8% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.7% | +4.6% | +4.0% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.