CVNA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +6.3% | +6.1% | 19.0% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -0.7% | 8.7% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | -0.5% | 4.8% | 47% |
| 5-day | +5.3% | +0.1% | 22.4% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +10.1% | -11.1% | -7.4% | +11.2% | +20.5% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +11.7% | +5.8% | -0.2% | +1.1% | -10.3% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 0.24 | 0.84 | +259.0% | -5.4% | -7.9% | +6.3% | -15.5% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.26 | 0.21 | -22.0% | -11.8% | -13.8% | -4.9% | +23.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +21.6% | +17.0% | +17.0% | -8.3% | -4.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.30 | +102.1% | +6.4% | +10.2% | +4.2% | +19.0% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.05 | 0.12 | +128.5% | -6.0% | -12.1% | -9.9% | -22.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +184.8% | +14.9% | +19.3% | -2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +287.2% | +10.6% | +10.0% | -8.9% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -0.15 | 0.05 | +131.1% | +37.7% | +33.8% | +3.4% | -15.1% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | -0.18 | -0.35 | -90.7% | +29.4% | +32.1% | +19.8% | +27.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.16 | -0.14 | +15.4% | -4.1% | +7.9% | -9.6% | +20.1% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | -0.21 | -0.19 | +8.4% | +35.7% | +40.2% | -21.6% | -33.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.38 | -0.30 | +19.6% | +39.3% | +24.4% | +17.2% | +65.0% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | -0.47 | -0.63 | -32.2% | -11.8% | -20.5% | +26.0% | -4.9% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.39 | -0.53 | -35.4% | -9.1% | -39.0% | +35.6% | -23.4% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | -0.38 | -0.47 | -24.7% | +3.5% | +40.1% | +10.9% | -33.0% |
| 2022-04-20 miss | -0.32 | -0.58 | -82.8% | -7.0% | -10.1% | -22.6% | -59.6% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -24.5% | +7.1% | +21.0% | -31.9% | -14.9% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | -0.06 | -0.08 | -27.9% | -3.6% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -11.4% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.07 | 0.05 | +172.4% | +8.4% | +2.6% | +4.4% | -4.5% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +30.7% | -1.7% | -5.9% | -4.1% | +11.5% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -0.10 | -0.18 | -82.7% | +5.4% | +7.5% | -7.7% | -12.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +64.8% | +4.3% | -3.1% | +13.3% | +35.5% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | -0.16 | -0.12 | +20.1% | -0.6% | +28.1% | -13.3% | -16.1% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | -0.13 | -0.24 | -83.3% | -5.7% | +7.2% | -8.3% | +16.4% |
| 2020-02-26 miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -26.3% | -13.0% | -12.6% | -16.0% | -44.8% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -42.6% | -6.3% | -7.5% | +6.7% | +22.2% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +6.3% | +22.9% | +25.1% | +8.9% | +14.5% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | -0.10 | -0.14 | -43.3% | +0.6% | +5.0% | -7.8% | -18.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.