CZWI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 3.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 1.3% | 30% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +1.1% | 4.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +27.3% | +0.3% | +5.9% | +4.0% | — |
| 2026-07-27 miss | 0.41 | 0.11 | -73.2% | -5.8% | -9.2% | +2.3% | -2.6% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.3% | -0.8% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +11.4% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +2.6% | +0.3% |
| 2025-10-27 | 0.37 | 0.37 | — | +0.1% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +8.2% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +13.8% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +10.8% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +20.8% | +0.6% | +3.0% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +0.0% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +18.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +15.4% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +33.3% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -5.1% | +3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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