CZWI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.2% | 4.1% | 56% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.0% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 1.5% | 44% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +1.4% | 6.6% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +27.3% | +0.3% | +5.9% | +4.0% | — |
| 2026-07-27 miss | 0.41 | 0.11 | -73.2% | -5.8% | -9.2% | +2.3% | -2.6% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.3% | -0.8% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +11.4% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +2.6% | +0.3% |
| 2025-10-27 | 0.37 | 0.37 | — | +0.1% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +8.2% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +13.8% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +10.8% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +20.8% | +0.6% | +3.0% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
| 2025-01-27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +0.0% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +18.5% | +0.4% | +0.4% | -0.9% | +15.4% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +33.3% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -5.1% | +3.8% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.26 | 0.39 | +50.0% | +0.6% | +5.9% | +2.5% | +2.9% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.26 | 0.38 | +46.1% | +2.5% | +1.2% | +0.3% | -5.6% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -9.4% | +4.1% | +5.1% | +3.0% | +20.6% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +13.4% | -1.4% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +2.1% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 0.38 | 0.35 | -7.1% | +2.3% | -1.2% | -5.2% | -17.5% |
| 2023-01-23 beat | 0.41 | 0.49 | +20.5% | +0.3% | +2.9% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
| 2022-10-24 beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.1% | +2.3% | +1.2% | +5.8% | +16.8% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.0% | +0.5% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2022-04-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +22.7% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -7.5% | -6.7% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 0.40 | 0.58 | +46.2% | +1.7% | +3.8% | +8.2% | +8.2% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 0.41 | 0.47 | +14.6% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +28.2% | +0.8% | +0.1% | +2.1% | +2.6% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.51 | +27.5% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +1.5% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +16.5% | +3.3% | +3.0% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.21 | 0.30 | +42.9% | +0.3% | +5.0% | -1.8% | +15.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +36.4% | +0.7% | -2.9% | +3.0% | +4.7% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +15.0% | +4.7% | +17.9% | +8.9% | +0.4% |
| 2020-01-27 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -7.1% | +0.6% | -1.1% | +2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +13.9% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +6.9% |
| 2019-07-29 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -6.8% | +3.3% | -0.6% | +1.4% | +3.7% |
| 2019-04-26 miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -32.0% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -10.3% |
| 2018-10-26 miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -31.4% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -3.1% | -8.4% |
| 2018-07-27 miss | 0.27 | 0.11 | -58.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +1.4% | -0.4% |
| 2018-04-27 miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -11.5% | -1.2% | -2.1% | +1.7% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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