DAN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | -0.6% | 7.6% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -2.2% | 4.0% | 33% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.7% | 3.3% | 53% |
| 5-day | -2.6% | -2.8% | 9.2% | 37% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.69 | 0.29 | -57.5% | +5.5% | -2.5% | +11.0% | +17.3% |
| 2026-05-15 beat | 0.44 | 0.51 | +16.7% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +5.7% | -14.7% |
| 2026-02-27 miss | 0.38 | 0.12 | -68.6% | -1.8% | +1.2% | -5.3% | -2.9% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.32 | 0.18 | -45.6% | +3.6% | +7.6% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2025-08-11 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -10.1% | +0.4% | +4.8% | +0.7% | +13.8% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -18.3% | -6.1% | +5.8% | +6.5% | +21.0% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.09 | 0.25 | +180.7% | +3.0% | -0.5% | -8.1% | -13.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.23 | 0.12 | -46.9% | -11.3% | -17.3% | +2.5% | +19.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +17.2% | +8.0% | +8.0% | -17.5% | -12.1% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.34 | +88.5% | -1.3% | -1.5% | +7.7% | +11.8% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | -0.05 | -0.08 | -68.3% | -7.2% | -7.8% | -1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 0.13 | 0.30 | +138.5% | +0.9% | -0.7% | -2.3% | +3.1% |
| 2023-07-28 beat | 0.18 | 0.37 | +104.6% | +4.2% | +0.8% | -4.9% | -16.3% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 0.08 | 0.25 | +222.8% | +2.6% | +3.8% | -4.5% | -11.5% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | 0.26 | -0.10 | -138.7% | -11.7% | -17.6% | +2.0% | -11.4% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +11.0% | +9.2% | +11.9% | +0.1% | +8.5% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.25 | 0.08 | -67.7% | -2.6% | -3.9% | +1.8% | -6.6% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +23.2% | -5.0% | -3.6% | +11.2% | +11.9% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.22 | — | -100.0% | -6.1% | -9.7% | -6.8% | -10.5% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | 0.46 | 0.41 | -11.8% | -7.5% | -12.2% | +2.0% | +8.4% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +21.1% | +0.4% | +1.5% | -1.6% | -2.9% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.66 | +40.4% | +2.7% | +0.1% | -9.0% | -1.4% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.35 | 0.24 | -31.2% | -5.8% | -8.0% | +12.7% | +20.5% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +11.1% | -2.3% | -2.3% | -0.8% | +23.0% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -0.81 | -0.69 | +14.4% | -3.4% | -7.8% | +4.9% | +18.7% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.47 | +57.2% | +10.0% | +10.2% | -11.6% | +13.9% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +11.0% | +0.2% | +6.2% | -3.3% | -64.7% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.5% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +1.9% | -0.3% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.89 | 0.87 | -2.8% | -2.5% | -12.9% | -15.6% | -24.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.71 | 0.78 | +9.5% | +0.1% | -4.4% | -5.0% | -17.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.